▶ MOCKUP — all numbers are placeholders. No third-party win-rate tables are reproduced anywhere on this page.

BEYOND
WIN RATES.

Methodology, history, and original analysis for Warhammer 40,000. The numbers other sites publish, framed by the math they leave out.

10110 0110 1011 010 011 101 10110 01101 11001 0011010 110101 01011 100110 +1.42σ 0.583 10110 01101 11001 01011 10110 11010 00110 101101 μ=0.5 n=200 10110 01101 11001 01011 10110 11010 001101 10110 p=.56 CI WR = W/(W+L) σ = √Σ(x-x̄)²/n P(win) = W/T μ = Σx·P(x) Δ% = (new-old)/old × 100 DATA STATS WIN RATE SAMPLE n
ARTICLES INDEXED
1,247
+12 this week
EDITIONS COVERED
3
8th · 9th · 10th
METHODOLOGY POSTS
14
+1 this month
SOURCES TRACKED
8
aggregators + GW
DATA STATUS
LIVE
build 2026.05.13

FACTION ATTENTION

SEARCH + REDDIT · 30-DAY INDEX
1Necrons100
2T'au Empire89
3Aeldari78
4Space Marines71
5Tyranids63
6Chaos Daemons55
7Custodes48
COMPOSITE: GOOGLE TRENDS + REDDIT VOLUME

ATTENTION INDEX OVER TIME

TOP 6 FACTIONS · ROLLING 6 MONTHS

METHODOLOGY NOTE

WEEK OF MAY 11, 2026
Why your 56% win rate isn't 56%

Reported faction win rates carry uncertainty that scales with sample size. A 56% rate over 200 games has a 95% CI of roughly 49% – 63%. The same rate over 2,000 games tightens to 54% – 58%.

When two sources disagree by 2 – 3 points, the disagreement often sits inside the noise.

READ MORE ›

RELEASE MIX

10TH EDITION · TO DATE
MFM updates
Dataslates
FAQs
Missions

CONFIDENCE INTERVAL EXPLORER

INTERACTIVE · WILSON 95% CI
56.0%
200
30%
70%
50%
Observed rate 56.0% over 200 games. Wilson 95% CI: 49.0%62.7%. Width: 13.7 pp. To halve the interval width, you would need roughly 800 games.
► Move the sliders. Most "X is 4% ahead of Y" claims you read on a Tuesday vanish at the bottom of this bar.

EDITION TIMELINE

10TH EDITION · LAST 6 EVENTS
2026 · MAY · 06 MFM v1.13 released
Points refresh across 27 factions.
2026 · APR · 22 Pariah Nexus FAQ #4
Mission rule clarifications.
2026 · MAR · 18 Spring Balance Dataslate
Major rules pass; 11 factions touched.
2026 · FEB · 05 MFM v1.12 released
Mid-cycle points update.
2026 · JAN · 14 Emperor's Children codex
New faction added.
2025 · DEC · 02 MFM v1.11 released
Late-cycle balancing pass.
VIEW FULL TIMELINE ›

SOURCES WE READ

WHO MEASURES WHAT
Stat Checktournament wins
Goonhammer 40kstatscompetitive results
Comp. Innovationsweekly recaps
Woehammermeta snapshots
Warhammer Communityofficial news
r/WHComp.sentiment

We summarize, link, and annotate. We do not republish source data.

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RULES COMPLEXITY

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10th edition trimmed the core text by another 23% versus 9th. Trend: streamlining since 8th.

THE ARCHIVE

ABOUT

We measure the metagame from the outside in. Not who is winning — we link to the people who track that. What we offer: methodology, history, and signal you will not find on any aggregator.