Warhammer 40k Tournament Data Dashboard — Quantum

COVERAGE THROUGH 2026-08-25 AWAITING

EVENTS 27 · 2026-W33

GAMES 2704

WEEKLY · 27 events · 2704 games

ABOUT THIS DATA

Every stat on this dashboard reads the Archive’s own first-party tournament pull from Best Coast Pairings — editorially curated by the Editor before commit, limited to 5+ round events, and faction-anonymous (no player names appear in any published output). It is the Archive computing on public event records, not a republished third-party win-rate table. Win rate is wins / (wins + losses + draws); the temporal toggle above slices the same pull by week, current patch, or edition lifetime.

HOW TO READ QUANTUM

Quantum is the Archive’s measurement layer — what the tournament data says about the game, before anyone interprets it. Every stat tab reads first-party Best Coast Pairings tournament data (5+ round events, faction-anonymous), sliced by the temporal window you pick above.

The dashboard measures — that is the Archivist. Interpretation lives on Awakenings — that is the Editor. Weigh them as separate acts.

Faction Performance (this tab) — per-faction win rate (Wilson 95% CI bar — wider band = smaller sample), field share, round attrition. Δ movement lives in the headline strip.
Matchups — the full 28×28 faction-vs-faction grid, heat-striped against each row faction’s own win rate.
Detail — margin profile, representation, consistency, round attrition tables.
Disposition — the 11th-edition list-building posture surfaces (populate as first-party 11e data lands).
ELO — the cumulative player rating ladder (not windowed — the temporal toggle doesn’t apply).
Tier List ↗ — the headline verdict: the Strength Index.

VITAL SIGNS · COLUMN REFRESH STATUS

PERFORMANCE

2026-08-16

FRESH · 10D AGO

PRACTICE

2026-06-27

FRESH · 60D AGO

DIGEST

2026-08-26

FRESH · 0D AGO

TOP WIN RATE

61.9% Adepta Sororitas

z +2.31 · CI [51.2–71.6]

STEEPEST CLIMB

+20pp Imperial Agents

w/w · Genestealer Cults +18.7

SHARPEST DROP

-13.7pp Thousand Sons

w/w · Chaos Knights -11.5

LATE-GAME LEADER

+41.7pp Grey Knights

round Δ · climbs late

HIDDEN GEM

Adepta Sororitas 61.9%

N=87 · 1.7% field share

FACTION PERFORMANCE

PER-FACTION WIN RATE · WILSON 95% CI (REAL WR, DRAWS EXCLUDED) · ACTIVE WINDOW · SORTABLE

FORMAT:

STAT:

#	FACTION	WIN RATE · 95% CI	REPRESENTATION · FIELD SHARE	ROUND Δ · ATTRITION	VP DIFF
1	Adepta Sororitas	61.9% [51.2–71.6]	+1.8	25%	87
2	Adeptus Custodes	50.8% [44.7–56.8]	+1.1	19%	272
3	Adeptus Mechanicus	43% [33.4–53.2]	-3.1	8%	97
4	Aeldari	48.2% [40.6–55.8]	-6.1	11%	168
5	Astra Militarum	40.1% [32.4–48.4]	-8.8	0%	147
6	Black Templars	39.2% [30.3–48.9]	-5.3	13%	107
7	Blood Angels	54.6% [46–62.8]	+2.1	8%	135
8	Chaos Daemons	52.2% [46–58.3]	-0.1	18%	260
9	Chaos Knights	42.2% [33–51.9]	-4.9	8%	106
10	Chaos Space Marines	48.5% [42.2–54.9]	-0.7	10%	239
11	Dark Angels	54.4% [48.4–60.1]	+3.2	28%	284
12	Death Guard	42.4% [36.3–48.7]	-4.6	0%	257
13	Deathwatch	51.2% [36.5–65.8] READ WITH CARE	+3.7	17%	41
14	Drukhari	51.3% [42.4–60.1]	-1.3	29%	128

#	FACTION	WIN RATE · 95% CI	REPRESENTATION · FIELD SHARE	ROUND Δ · ATTRITION	VP DIFF
15	Emperor’s Children	55.7% [49.4–61.7]	+2.6	13%	255
16	Genestealer Cults	53.4% [43.1–63.5]	+5.1	13%	89
17	Grey Knights	50.8% [42.3–59.2]	-2.4	17%	131
18	Imperial Agents	53.3% [30.1–75.2] READ WITH CARE	-10.4	0%	15
19	Imperial Knights	43.2% [36.4–50.3]	-3.4	0%	199
20	Leagues of Votann	50.5% [43.7–57.2]	+0.3	6%	216
21	Necrons	53.4% [47.8–59]	+3.5	18%	318
22	Orks	49.8% [44.3–55.4]	+4.6	41%	314
23	Space Marines	51.6% [46.4–56.7]	+0.1	14%	366
24	Space Wolves	56.2% [47.6–64.4]	+6.5	7%	132
25	T’au Empire	51.1% [45.2–57]	-0.6	35%	280
26	Thousand Sons	44.9% [37.1–53]	-2	13%	151
27	Tyranids	47.4% [41.6–53.4]	-2.4	15%	284
28	World Eaters	52.8% [45.1–60.4]	+1.7	24%	160

#	FACTION	WIN RATE · 95% CI	REPRESENTATION · FIELD SHARE	ROUND Δ · ATTRITION	VP DIFF
1	Adepta Sororitas	57.8% [46.2–68.6] READ WITH CARE	+1	25%	72
2	Adeptus Custodes	51.3% [44.9–57.7]	+1.2	19%	238
3	Adeptus Mechanicus	41.7% [31.7–52.4]	-3.2	8%	87
4	Aeldari	47.1% [39.3–54.9]	-6.8	11%	158
5	Astra Militarum	41.2% [33.3–49.6]	-9.1	0%	138
6	Black Templars	39.8% [30.7–49.7]	-5.2	13%	102
7	Blood Angels	54.3% [45.7–62.6]	+1.9	8%	130
8	Chaos Daemons	50.2% [43.8–56.6]	-0.6	18%	236
9	Chaos Knights	41.2% [31.3–51.8]	-5.3	8%	87
10	Chaos Space Marines	49.5% [42.9–56.2]	-0.5	10%	219
11	Dark Angels	55.1% [49–61.1]	+3.7	28%	260
12	Death Guard	45% [38.6–51.6]	-4.4	0%	227
13	Deathwatch	51.2% [36.5–65.8] READ WITH CARE	+3.7	17%	41
14	Drukhari	52.1% [42.2–61.8]	-1.2	29%	99

#	FACTION	WIN RATE · 95% CI	REPRESENTATION · FIELD SHARE	ROUND Δ · ATTRITION	VP DIFF
15	Emperor’s Children	52.8% [46.1–59.4]	+1.6	13%	217
16	Genestealer Cults	56.6% [45.9–66.8]	+6	13%	84
17	Grey Knights	52.5% [43.6–61.2]	-2.1	17%	121
18	Imperial Agents	53.3% [30.1–75.2] READ WITH CARE	-10.4	0%	15
19	Imperial Knights	46.3% [38.8–54]	-2.8	0%	165
20	Leagues of Votann	50.8% [43.7–57.9]	+0.6	6%	191
21	Necrons	55% [49–60.9]	+4.3	18%	274
22	Orks	49.2% [43.3–55.2]	+5.1	41%	267
23	Space Marines	51.1% [45.7–56.4]	-0.1	14%	342
24	Space Wolves	52.9% [44.1–61.6]	+6.3	7%	122
25	T’au Empire	50.2% [44.1–56.3]	-0.9	35%	260
26	Thousand Sons	45.1% [36.9–53.6]	-2.2	13%	136
27	Tyranids	46.1% [40.1–52.2]	-2.8	15%	265
28	World Eaters	53% [45–60.9]	+1.6	24%	150

#	FACTION	WIN RATE · 95% CI	REPRESENTATION · FIELD SHARE	ROUND Δ · ATTRITION	VP DIFF
1	Adepta Sororitas	84.6% [57.8–95.7] READ WITH CARE	+5.7	·	15
2	Adeptus Custodes	46.7% [30.2–63.9] READ WITH CARE	+0.8	·	34
3	Adeptus Mechanicus	55.6% [26.7–81.1] READ WITH CARE	-2.2	·	10
4	Aeldari	66.7% [35.4–87.9] READ WITH CARE	+4.6	·	10
5	Astra Militarum	16.7% [3–56.4] READ WITH CARE	-4.2	·	9
6	Black Templars	25% [4.6–69.9] READ WITH CARE	-8	·	5
7	Blood Angels	66.7% [20.8–93.9] READ WITH CARE	+6	·	5
8	Chaos Daemons	72.7% [51.9–86.9] READ WITH CARE	+5.6	·	24
9	Chaos Knights	47.1% [26.2–69] READ WITH CARE	-3.1	·	19
10	Chaos Space Marines	36.8% [19.2–59] READ WITH CARE	-2.9	·	20
11	Dark Angels	45.5% [26.9–65.3] READ WITH CARE	-2.5	·	24
12	Death Guard	17.4% [7–37.1] READ WITH CARE	-5.6	·	30
14	Drukhari	47.8% [29.2–67] READ WITH CARE	-1.9	·	29

#	FACTION	WIN RATE · 95% CI	REPRESENTATION · FIELD SHARE	ROUND Δ · ATTRITION	VP DIFF
15	Emperor’s Children	72.2% [56–84.2] READ WITH CARE	+8.1	·	38
16	Genestealer Cults	0% [0–43.5] READ WITH CARE	-10	·	5
17	Grey Knights	30% [10.8–60.3] READ WITH CARE	-6	·	10
19	Imperial Knights	26.7% [14.2–44.5] READ WITH CARE	-6.5	·	34
20	Leagues of Votann	47.6% [28.3–67.6] READ WITH CARE	-2.2	·	25
21	Necrons	41.7% [27.1–57.8] READ WITH CARE	-1.5	·	44
22	Orks	53.5% [38.9–67.5] READ WITH CARE	+1.4	·	47
23	Space Marines	59.1% [38.7–76.7] READ WITH CARE	+3.8	·	24
24	Space Wolves	100% [70.1–100] READ WITH CARE	+9.2	·	10
25	T’au Empire	64.7% [41.3–82.7] READ WITH CARE	+3.2	·	20
26	Thousand Sons	42.9% [21.4–67.4] READ WITH CARE	-0.1	·	15
27	Tyranids	68.8% [44.4–85.8] READ WITH CARE	+3.3	·	19
28	World Eaters	50% [23.7–76.3] READ WITH CARE	+3	·	10

#	FACTION	WIN RATE · 95% CI	REPRESENTATION · FIELD SHARE	ROUND Δ · ATTRITION	VP DIFF
1	Adepta Sororitas	46.3% [43.2–49.4]	-2.4	9%	1041
2	Adeptus Custodes	52% [50–53.9]	+1.6	20%	2668
3	Adeptus Mechanicus	47% [43.9–50.1]	-2.3	11%	1033
4	Aeldari	43.8% [41.1–46.6]	-3.9	6%	1345
5	Astra Militarum	39.9% [37.4–42.5]	-6.7	5%	1486
6	Black Templars	44.8% [41–48.8]	-4	6%	650
7	Blood Angels	49.2% [46.5–52]	-1.6	6%	1313
8	Chaos Daemons	52.4% [50–54.8]	+2.5	14%	1796
9	Chaos Knights	42.1% [39.1–45.1]	-3.9	9%	1104
10	Chaos Space Marines	48.3% [46.2–50.4]	-1	14%	2285
11	Dark Angels	52.7% [50.3–55]	+1.8	28%	1782
12	Death Guard	43% [40.7–45.4]	-4	3%	1793
13	Deathwatch	51.9% [46.2–57.5]	+1.2	12%	307
14	Drukhari	49.1% [46.2–52]	-2.1	18%	1226

#	FACTION	WIN RATE · 95% CI	REPRESENTATION · FIELD SHARE	ROUND Δ · ATTRITION	VP DIFF
15	Emperor’s Children	54.3% [52.2–56.4]	+2.5	24%	2189
16	Genestealer Cults	48.5% [44.7–52.2]	-0.9	11%	725
17	Grey Knights	48.1% [45.1–51]	-0.9	8%	1157
18	Imperial Agents	49% [41–57]	-1.4	4%	151
19	Imperial Knights	49.5% [47.4–51.6]	+0.4	8%	2200
20	Leagues of Votann	52.5% [50–54.9]	+0.8	13%	1713
21	Necrons	52.7% [50.8–54.5]	+0.9	25%	3045
22	Orks	57.2% [55.2–59]	+5.2	44%	2754
23	Space Marines	50.4% [48.6–52.1]	-0.8	29%	3330
24	Space Wolves	48.6% [45.6–51.5]	-0.9	13%	1151
25	T’au Empire	51.6% [49.7–53.5]	-0.1	22%	2805
26	Thousand Sons	55.8% [53.5–58.1]	+3.6	24%	1920
27	Tyranids	49% [47.1–50.9]	+0.3	14%	2731
28	World Eaters	45.2% [42.6–47.8]	-2.1	5%	1456

#	FACTION	WIN RATE · 95% CI	REPRESENTATION · FIELD SHARE	ROUND Δ · ATTRITION	VP DIFF
1	Adepta Sororitas	46.6% [42.9–50.3]	-2.9	9%	705
2	Adeptus Custodes	52.1% [49.8–54.4]	+2	20%	1853
3	Adeptus Mechanicus	47.2% [43.6–50.8]	-2.7	11%	760
4	Aeldari	45.3% [42–48.6]	-4.8	6%	892
5	Astra Militarum	41.2% [38.3–44.2]	-7.6	5%	1085
6	Black Templars	45.3% [41.1–49.6]	-4.4	6%	535
7	Blood Angels	47.8% [44.8–50.9]	-2.1	6%	1054
8	Chaos Daemons	50.8% [48–53.5]	+2.6	14%	1282
9	Chaos Knights	44% [40.3–47.8]	-4.4	9%	689
10	Chaos Space Marines	49.5% [47–51.9]	-0.9	14%	1658
11	Dark Angels	52.9% [50.2–55.5]	+2.2	28%	1427
12	Death Guard	43.1% [40.3–45.9]	-5	3%	1250
13	Deathwatch	48.2% [42.1–54.4]	+0.3	12%	256
14	Drukhari	50.1% [46.7–53.5]	-2.5	18%	857

#	FACTION	WIN RATE · 95% CI	REPRESENTATION · FIELD SHARE	ROUND Δ · ATTRITION	VP DIFF
15	Emperor’s Children	54% [51.6–56.5]	+2.8	24%	1602
16	Genestealer Cults	48.6% [44.2–53]	-0.8	11%	509
17	Grey Knights	50.5% [47.1–53.9]	-0.8	8%	852
18	Imperial Agents	48.7% [39.9–57.7]	-2.2	4%	121
19	Imperial Knights	50.7% [48.3–53.2]	+1	8%	1577
20	Leagues of Votann	52.3% [49.5–55.1]	+0.8	13%	1289
21	Necrons	52.3% [50.1–54.4]	+0.8	25%	2217
22	Orks	55.8% [53.6–58]	+6.1	44%	1972
23	Space Marines	49.9% [48–51.8]	-1	29%	2689
24	Space Wolves	48.8% [45.6–52]	-0.8	13%	959
25	T’au Empire	50.3% [48.1–52.5]	-0.5	22%	1986
26	Thousand Sons	54.9% [52.2–57.7]	+4.3	24%	1277
27	Tyranids	48.5% [46.3–50.7]	+0.4	14%	2001
28	World Eaters	46% [43–48.9]	-2.1	5%	1115

#	FACTION	WIN RATE · 95% CI	REPRESENTATION · FIELD SHARE	ROUND Δ · ATTRITION	VP DIFF
1	Adepta Sororitas	45.7% [40.1–51.5]	-1.4	·	336
2	Adeptus Custodes	51.6% [47.9–55.3]	+0.6	·	815
3	Adeptus Mechanicus	46.3% [40.2–52.6]	-1.5	·	273
4	Aeldari	40.8% [36–45.6]	-2.2	·	453
5	Astra Militarum	35.9% [31.1–41.1]	-4.2	·	401
6	Black Templars	42.6% [33.4–52.3]	-2.4	·	115
7	Blood Angels	55.7% [49.1–62.1]	+0.8	·	259
8	Chaos Daemons	56.9% [52.3–61.4]	+2.3	·	514
9	Chaos Knights	38.6% [33.7–43.7]	-3	·	415
10	Chaos Space Marines	45% [40.9–49.1]	-1.4	·	627
11	Dark Angels	51.7% [46.2–57.2]	+0	·	355
12	Death Guard	42.8% [38.4–47.3]	-1.5	·	543
13	Deathwatch	72.7% [58.2–83.7] READ WITH CARE	+5.8	·	51
14	Drukhari	46.3% [40.8–51.9]	-1.3	·	369

#	FACTION	WIN RATE · 95% CI	REPRESENTATION · FIELD SHARE	ROUND Δ · ATTRITION	VP DIFF
15	Emperor’s Children	55.2% [50.9–59.4]	+1.7	·	587
16	Genestealer Cults	48.1% [41–55.3]	-1.1	·	216
17	Grey Knights	40.5% [34.8–46.6]	-1.2	·	305
18	Imperial Agents	50% [32.6–67.4] READ WITH CARE	+1.9	·	30
19	Imperial Knights	46.1% [42.1–50.2]	-0.9	·	623
20	Leagues of Votann	53.2% [48–58.3]	+0.7	·	424
21	Necrons	53.9% [50.3–57.5]	+1	·	828
22	Orks	60.9% [57.2–64.5]	+2.8	·	782
23	Space Marines	52.5% [48.4–56.6]	+0.2	·	641
24	Space Wolves	47.4% [40.1–54.8]	-1.1	·	192
25	T’au Empire	55.1% [51.4–58.7]	+1	·	819
26	Thousand Sons	57.7% [53.6–61.7]	+2.1	·	643
27	Tyranids	50.6% [46.7–54.5]	+0.3	·	730
28	World Eaters	42.4% [37–48.1]	-2.2	·	341

#	FACTION	WIN RATE · 95% CI	REPRESENTATION · FIELD SHARE	ROUND Δ · ATTRITION	VP DIFF
1	Adepta Sororitas	46.3% [43.2–49.4]	-2.4	9%	1041
2	Adeptus Custodes	52% [50–53.9]	+1.6	20%	2668
3	Adeptus Mechanicus	47% [43.9–50.1]	-2.3	11%	1033
4	Aeldari	43.8% [41.1–46.6]	-3.9	6%	1345
5	Astra Militarum	39.9% [37.4–42.5]	-6.7	5%	1486
6	Black Templars	44.8% [41–48.8]	-4	6%	650
7	Blood Angels	49.2% [46.5–52]	-1.6	6%	1313
8	Chaos Daemons	52.4% [50–54.8]	+2.5	14%	1796
9	Chaos Knights	42.1% [39.1–45.1]	-3.9	9%	1104
10	Chaos Space Marines	48.3% [46.2–50.4]	-1	14%	2285
11	Dark Angels	52.7% [50.3–55]	+1.8	28%	1782
12	Death Guard	43% [40.7–45.4]	-4	3%	1793
13	Deathwatch	51.9% [46.2–57.5]	+1.2	12%	307
14	Drukhari	49.1% [46.2–52]	-2.1	18%	1226

#	FACTION	WIN RATE · 95% CI	REPRESENTATION · FIELD SHARE	ROUND Δ · ATTRITION	VP DIFF
15	Emperor’s Children	54.3% [52.2–56.4]	+2.5	24%	2189
16	Genestealer Cults	48.5% [44.7–52.2]	-0.9	11%	725
17	Grey Knights	48.1% [45.1–51]	-0.9	8%	1157
18	Imperial Agents	49% [41–57]	-1.4	4%	151
19	Imperial Knights	49.5% [47.4–51.6]	+0.4	8%	2200
20	Leagues of Votann	52.5% [50–54.9]	+0.8	13%	1713
21	Necrons	52.7% [50.8–54.5]	+0.9	25%	3045
22	Orks	57.2% [55.2–59]	+5.2	44%	2754
23	Space Marines	50.4% [48.6–52.1]	-0.8	29%	3330
24	Space Wolves	48.6% [45.6–51.5]	-0.9	13%	1151
25	T’au Empire	51.6% [49.7–53.5]	-0.1	22%	2805
26	Thousand Sons	55.8% [53.5–58.1]	+3.6	24%	1920
27	Tyranids	49% [47.1–50.9]	+0.3	14%	2731
28	World Eaters	45.2% [42.6–47.8]	-2.1	5%	1456

#	FACTION	WIN RATE · 95% CI	REPRESENTATION · FIELD SHARE	ROUND Δ · ATTRITION	VP DIFF
1	Adepta Sororitas	46.6% [42.9–50.3]	-2.9	9%	705
2	Adeptus Custodes	52.1% [49.8–54.4]	+2	20%	1853
3	Adeptus Mechanicus	47.2% [43.6–50.8]	-2.7	11%	760
4	Aeldari	45.3% [42–48.6]	-4.8	6%	892
5	Astra Militarum	41.2% [38.3–44.2]	-7.6	5%	1085
6	Black Templars	45.3% [41.1–49.6]	-4.4	6%	535
7	Blood Angels	47.8% [44.8–50.9]	-2.1	6%	1054
8	Chaos Daemons	50.8% [48–53.5]	+2.6	14%	1282
9	Chaos Knights	44% [40.3–47.8]	-4.4	9%	689
10	Chaos Space Marines	49.5% [47–51.9]	-0.9	14%	1658
11	Dark Angels	52.9% [50.2–55.5]	+2.2	28%	1427
12	Death Guard	43.1% [40.3–45.9]	-5	3%	1250
13	Deathwatch	48.2% [42.1–54.4]	+0.3	12%	256
14	Drukhari	50.1% [46.7–53.5]	-2.5	18%	857

#	FACTION	WIN RATE · 95% CI	REPRESENTATION · FIELD SHARE	ROUND Δ · ATTRITION	VP DIFF
15	Emperor’s Children	54% [51.6–56.5]	+2.8	24%	1602
16	Genestealer Cults	48.6% [44.2–53]	-0.8	11%	509
17	Grey Knights	50.5% [47.1–53.9]	-0.8	8%	852
18	Imperial Agents	48.7% [39.9–57.7]	-2.2	4%	121
19	Imperial Knights	50.7% [48.3–53.2]	+1	8%	1577
20	Leagues of Votann	52.3% [49.5–55.1]	+0.8	13%	1289
21	Necrons	52.3% [50.1–54.4]	+0.8	25%	2217
22	Orks	55.8% [53.6–58]	+6.1	44%	1972
23	Space Marines	49.9% [48–51.8]	-1	29%	2689
24	Space Wolves	48.8% [45.6–52]	-0.8	13%	959
25	T’au Empire	50.3% [48.1–52.5]	-0.5	22%	1986
26	Thousand Sons	54.9% [52.2–57.7]	+4.3	24%	1277
27	Tyranids	48.5% [46.3–50.7]	+0.4	14%	2001
28	World Eaters	46% [43–48.9]	-2.1	5%	1115

#	FACTION	WIN RATE · 95% CI	REPRESENTATION · FIELD SHARE	ROUND Δ · ATTRITION	VP DIFF
1	Adepta Sororitas	45.7% [40.1–51.5]	-1.4	·	336
2	Adeptus Custodes	51.6% [47.9–55.3]	+0.6	·	815
3	Adeptus Mechanicus	46.3% [40.2–52.6]	-1.5	·	273
4	Aeldari	40.8% [36–45.6]	-2.2	·	453
5	Astra Militarum	35.9% [31.1–41.1]	-4.2	·	401
6	Black Templars	42.6% [33.4–52.3]	-2.4	·	115
7	Blood Angels	55.7% [49.1–62.1]	+0.8	·	259
8	Chaos Daemons	56.9% [52.3–61.4]	+2.3	·	514
9	Chaos Knights	38.6% [33.7–43.7]	-3	·	415
10	Chaos Space Marines	45% [40.9–49.1]	-1.4	·	627
11	Dark Angels	51.7% [46.2–57.2]	+0	·	355
12	Death Guard	42.8% [38.4–47.3]	-1.5	·	543
13	Deathwatch	72.7% [58.2–83.7] READ WITH CARE	+5.8	·	51
14	Drukhari	46.3% [40.8–51.9]	-1.3	·	369

#	FACTION	WIN RATE · 95% CI	REPRESENTATION · FIELD SHARE	ROUND Δ · ATTRITION	VP DIFF
15	Emperor’s Children	55.2% [50.9–59.4]	+1.7	·	587
16	Genestealer Cults	48.1% [41–55.3]	-1.1	·	216
17	Grey Knights	40.5% [34.8–46.6]	-1.2	·	305
18	Imperial Agents	50% [32.6–67.4] READ WITH CARE	+1.9	·	30
19	Imperial Knights	46.1% [42.1–50.2]	-0.9	·	623
20	Leagues of Votann	53.2% [48–58.3]	+0.7	·	424
21	Necrons	53.9% [50.3–57.5]	+1	·	828
22	Orks	60.9% [57.2–64.5]	+2.8	·	782
23	Space Marines	52.5% [48.4–56.6]	+0.2	·	641
24	Space Wolves	47.4% [40.1–54.8]	-1.1	·	192
25	T’au Empire	55.1% [51.4–58.7]	+1	·	819
26	Thousand Sons	57.7% [53.6–61.7]	+2.1	·	643
27	Tyranids	50.6% [46.7–54.5]	+0.3	·	730
28	World Eaters	42.4% [37–48.1]	-2.2	·	341

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MATCHUP MATRIX FACTION-VS-FACTION WIN RATE · HEAT-STRIPED AGAINST ROW BASELINE · LOW-N CELLS (< 5 GAMES) MUTED

First-party BCP tournament data — 5+ round events, faction-anonymous. Cells show the row faction’s win rate vs the column faction.

	Adepta Sororitas	Adeptus Custodes	Adeptus Mechanicus	Aeldari	Astra Militarum	Black Templars	Blood Angels	Chaos Daemons	Chaos Knights	Chaos Space Marines	Dark Angels	Death Guard	Deathwatch	Drukhari	Emperor’s Children	Genestealer Cults	Grey Knights	Imperial Agents	Imperial Knights	Leagues of Votann	Necrons	Orks	Space Marines	Space Wolves	Thousand Sons	Tyranids	T’au Empire	World Eaters
Adepta Sororitas	1	3	1	2	3	1		4	2	2	67	57		4	43		1		83	4	4	40	57	2	1	86	2	2
Adeptus Custodes	3	7	3	60	4	71	4	61	60	45	53	71	2	31	29	50	50	1	82	50	50	45	50	60	50	41	11	0
Adeptus Mechanicus	1	3	1	40	4	2	43	2	1	1	2	3	2	3	33	2	1		1	43	50	4	2	20	40	50	4	2
Aeldari	2	40	60	3	80	56	4	50	4	4	36	50	2	1	4	71	25		4	60	23	50	53	3	4	55	43	50
Astra Militarum	3	4	4	20	5	17	3	0	2	70	86	17	1	1	3	40	20		17	43	50	13	58	1	2	13	38	17
Black Templars	1	29	2	33	83		4	2	3	40	40	40		2	3	3	2		20	2	44	60	29	4	2	2	3	4
Blood Angels		4	57	4	3	4	1	38	83	3	40	40	1	4	4	3	1	1	3	3	63	43	50	3	50	57	70	57
Chaos Daemons	4	33	2	50	80	2	63	7	4	50	43	69	50	50	50	3	40		50	75	50	56	26	60	43	64	65	71
Chaos Knights	2	40	1	4	2	3	17	4	1	20	20	4		2	60	2	1		3	3	60	50	4	0	4	25	4	43
Chaos Space Marines	2	55	1	4	30	60	3	50	80	7	0	70	2	3	50	4	44		42	50	57	40	43	60	4	44	55	33
Dark Angels	33	47	2	64	14	60	60	57	60	100	7	80		43	33	60	60	2	75	50	40	48	42	50	70	65	31	2
Death Guard	43	21	3	50	67	50	60	31	4	25	20	7	4	17	25	2	57	3	42	19	44	69	19	67	4	58	70	33
Deathwatch		2	2	2	1		1	50		2		4		2	4					2	2	4	1	3	1		1	1
Drukhari	4	62	3	1	1	2	4	17	2	3	57	83	2	1	60		4		1	63	60	50	20	40	1	38	50	4
Emperor’s Children	57	64	67	4	3	3	4	50	40	30	61	75	4	40	10	2	57	1	69	43	35	50	72	0	88	42	50	4
Genestealer Cults		50	2	29	60	3	3	3	2	4	20	2			2		2		86	3	4	40	4	1	80	80	40	4
Grey Knights	1	50	1	75	80	2	1	60	1	56	40	43		4	43	2	1		3	3	11	4	50	40	3	40	33	2
Imperial Agents		1					1				2	3			1						3		2		1	1
Imperial Knights	17	18	1	4	83	80	3	50	3	58	25	42		1	31	14	3		4	4	36	55	41	4	43	40	22	50
Leagues of Votann	4	50	43	40	57	2	3	13	3	50	43	75	2	38	57	3	3		4	3	42	27	45	43	3	56	56	4
Necrons	4	44	50	77	17	56	38	50	30	43	53	44	2	30	65	4	89	3	57	50	6	72	48	44	71	45	54	25
Orks	60	55	4	50	88	40	43	44	50	50	52	23	4	50	50	60	4		36	68	28	7	43	4	36	56	40	54
Space Marines	29	50	2	41	42	43	50	68	4	52	58	75	1	70	28	4	50	2	53	55	52	52	16	25	29	44	44	89
Space Wolves	2	40	80	3	1	4	3	40	100	40	50	33	3	60	88	1	60		4	43	56	4	75	1	4	83	38
Thousand Sons	1	42	60	4	2	2	50	57	4	4	30	4	1	1	13	20	3	1	43	3	29	64	64	4	2	33	64	3
Tyranids	14	59	50	27	88	2	43	36	63	56	30	33		50	50	20	60	1	60	44	36	44	56	17	67	9	47	53
T’au Empire	2	67	4	57	50	3	30	35	4	45	54	30	1	50	43	60	67		78	44	38	60	56	63	36	47	6	56
World Eaters	2	100	2	50	83	4	43	14	57	67	2	67	1	4	4	4	2		50	4	75	46	11		3	47	44	3

PER-EVENT AUDIT · 27 EVENTS

Hammer of Wrath GT August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
Rose City Rampage II August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
Spruce City Grand Tournament August 17, 2026 · players · rounds
Grillin' Dice GT 2026 August 17, 2026 · players · rounds
Sanctum's first Ironman Event! August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
Hole in the Wall GT August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
Onslaught x Layton GT August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
River City Rumble 40k August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
Free State Mid Summers GT August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
Warhammer 40k RocHard GT 2026 August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
NSO 2026 August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
21st Legion Wargaming Presents: Heart of War 2026 40K hosted by Away Games August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
TNT at Nashcon August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
Summer Slaughter: Warhammer 40K Grand Tournament August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
Summer of War GT August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
The Upkeep Games GT I 2026 August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
2 Day 2K Warhammer 40K Tournament August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
Loch 'n Load Teams Championship August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
EG Grand Slam 40k GT 2026 August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
South Yorkshire Teams 2026 August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
Grampian Gaming Guild August Teams GT August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
Oxford Onslaught Major 40k August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
Happy Birthday Mr. Iberian Goblin! August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
ELBCOAST CUP 24 August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
Torneo Tabletop Agosto August 15, 2026 · players · rounds
Warhammer 40,000 Grand Tournament - Warhammer Open Newport August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
WTC Warmaster GT 2026 August 12, 2026 · players · rounds

MATCHUP MATRIX FACTION-VS-FACTION WIN RATE · HEAT-STRIPED AGAINST ROW BASELINE · LOW-N CELLS (< 5 GAMES) MUTED

First-party BCP tournament data — 5+ round events, faction-anonymous. Cells show the row faction’s win rate vs the column faction.

	Adepta Sororitas	Adeptus Custodes	Adeptus Mechanicus	Aeldari	Astra Militarum	Black Templars	Blood Angels	Chaos Daemons	Chaos Knights	Chaos Space Marines	Dark Angels	Death Guard	Deathwatch	Drukhari	Emperor’s Children	Genestealer Cults	Grey Knights	Imperial Agents	Imperial Knights	Leagues of Votann	Necrons	Orks	Space Marines	Space Wolves	Thousand Sons	Tyranids	T’au Empire	World Eaters
Adepta Sororitas	5	54	44	40	59	50	48	36	68	47	37	50	33	56	46	37	52	2	48	33	47	29	35	47	28	51	37	48
Adeptus Custodes	39	83	49	56	56	58	58	52	58	44	44	52	53	43	45	49	45	100	57	61	49	47	45	50	41	50	47	42
Adeptus Mechanicus	48	44	10	48	59	60	52	23	40	48	50	44	88	46	45	41	42	4	46	62	41	42	36	38	40	51	33	63
Aeldari	60	37	44	17	66	52	33	44	52	41	33	41	83	26	42	41	47	40	50	43	34	39	42	41	30	40	39	50
Astra Militarum	34	37	29	32	29	32	46	43	42	37	49	39	55	34	41	31	43	3	34	37	27	27	42	44	33	36	40	37
Black Templars	44	39	40	43	61	8	50	45	47	38	29	42	50	56	42	64	44	40	34	44	40	33	38	43	38	48	40	50
Blood Angels	41	41	42	64	46	45	20	43	42	60	57	50	38	31	51	59	51	50	37	30	43	43	51	61	42	45	49	56
Chaos Daemons	57	43	74	46	53	50	52	45	59	51	44	63	62	65	46	46	60	3	60	55	46	38	43	56	38	57	54	55
Chaos Knights	32	33	45	36	50	47	58	31	18	45	22	44	46	52	27	27	33	4	33	31	45	34	45	11	35	45	37	43
Chaos Space Marines	48	51	50	57	61	53	31	45	55	54	39	54	42	48	41	55	51	4	46	36	49	46	46	47	43	42	34	45
Dark Angels	59	52	50	63	44	71	39	52	61	60	34	57	14	49	42	63	59	83	55	48	40	43	50	55	46	57	40	58
Death Guard	39	42	53	53	50	48	44	33	44	39	36	43	64	33	34	32	51	22	38	34	32	33	44	38	35	49	43	40
Deathwatch	67	40	13	17	36	33	63	38	54	53	86	36	1	45	44	2	90	1	64	54	73	33	61	46	64	57	38	38
Drukhari	39	48	54	56	52	44	67	23	41	48	45	53	55	15	54	37	54	1	50	44	42	43	54	43	20	32	51	53
Emperor’s Children	48	51	53	56	58	58	49	52	69	51	56	64	56	43	60	58	51	29	52	53	45	44	49	61	56	53	51	59
Genestealer Cults	63	46	59	55	62	27	41	50	67	42	30	57	2	60	27	6	42	1	49	44	33	39	39	60	49	34	47	54
Grey Knights	43	52	54	44	50	56	43	34	67	42	35	44	10	40	42	53	10	1	65	38	49	41	49	50	32	49	37	56
Imperial Agents	2	0	4	60	3	60	50	3	4	4	17	78	1	1	57	1	1		33	4	55	25	63	3	17	57	50	50
Imperial Knights	49	38	54	48	66	66	58	37	57	52	39	57	27	45	47	41	35	44	61	31	45	37	44	57	43	58	55	67
Leagues of Votann	57	38	28	45	58	44	63	39	59	52	48	56	38	46	43	48	53	4	64	30	48	45	50	54	41	50	51	62
Necrons	48	43	58	65	64	60	52	49	48	47	56	59	27	49	50	55	41	45	52	51	89	39	48	51	53	51	47	54
Orks	66	50	55	61	65	67	51	56	57	50	52	60	56	47	49	56	53	75	59	52	56	76	55	62	52	50	51	65
Space Marines	55	49	56	53	50	53	48	54	51	49	48	53	39	42	50	56	49	31	52	46	48	41	120	45	40	45	39	60
Space Wolves	53	44	62	55	51	57	32	44	86	47	43	62	54	50	37	40	50	3	41	36	48	32	55	18	52	40	45	57
Thousand Sons	70	52	48	63	60	46	54	61	63	54	51	61	36	67	40	49	62	67	53	53	43	44	53	43	35	50	52	67
Tyranids	42	45	42	51	60	48	49	38	48	54	38	48	29	58	42	59	40	43	36	45	43	45	50	57	42	72	49	41
T’au Empire	50	44	66	57	53	53	48	44	49	61	55	55	54	42	47	47	58	50	41	44	45	46	57	52	41	47	77	50
World Eaters	45	52	31	45	63	50	40	36	46	49	40	57	62	47	37	42	36	50	32	32	44	30	36	40	31	57	47	28

PER-EVENT AUDIT · 199 EVENTS

Hammer of Wrath GT August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
Rose City Rampage II August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
Spruce City Grand Tournament August 17, 2026 · players · rounds
Grillin' Dice GT 2026 August 17, 2026 · players · rounds
Sanctum's first Ironman Event! August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
Hole in the Wall GT August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
Onslaught x Layton GT August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
River City Rumble 40k August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
Free State Mid Summers GT August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
Warhammer 40k RocHard GT 2026 August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
NSO 2026 August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
21st Legion Wargaming Presents: Heart of War 2026 40K hosted by Away Games August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
TNT at Nashcon August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
Summer Slaughter: Warhammer 40K Grand Tournament August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
Summer of War GT August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
The Upkeep Games GT I 2026 August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
2 Day 2K Warhammer 40K Tournament August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
Loch 'n Load Teams Championship August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
EG Grand Slam 40k GT 2026 August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
South Yorkshire Teams 2026 August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
Grampian Gaming Guild August Teams GT August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
Oxford Onslaught Major 40k August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
Happy Birthday Mr. Iberian Goblin! August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
ELBCOAST CUP 24 August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
Torneo Tabletop Agosto August 15, 2026 · players · rounds
Warhammer 40,000 Grand Tournament - Warhammer Open Newport August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
WTC Warmaster GT 2026 August 12, 2026 · players · rounds
BLACKSTONE GT 2 August 10, 2026 · players · rounds
The Utah Cup 2026 - Warhammer 40K August 9, 2026 · players · rounds
RCM: Summer Skirmish 2026 August 9, 2026 · players · rounds
Keelhaul Gaming First Contact August 9, 2026 · players · rounds
Iowaaagh! Moose-tacular 2026 August 9, 2026 · players · rounds
Gem City GT 2026 August 9, 2026 · players · rounds
Geekfest - Summer Heat - Atlantic Team Championship August 9, 2026 · players · rounds
Cross-Swords War AT The Westward XI August 9, 2026 · players · rounds
Les DUCS d'été V11 August 9, 2026 · players · rounds
🔥Napalm Hobbies - 11th ED - SUMMER GT - 40K - ITC - ETC August 9, 2026 · players · rounds
The Summer I. T. T. - INTERNATIONAL TEAM TOURNAMENT - August August 9, 2026 · players · rounds
SAW MUST GO ON II – Murcia – Warhammer 40,000 Grand Tournament August 9, 2026 · players · rounds
Auspicious Northern Showdown August 9, 2026 · players · rounds
Tasmanian Teams Championship 2026 August 9, 2026 · players · rounds
The 2026 Gateway Open 40K Teams Tournament August 9, 2026 · players · rounds
OtherRealms Battle for Brew-mageddon August 3, 2026 · players · rounds
Modhammer August 2, 2026 · players · rounds
J-Town Throwdown August 2, 2026 · players · rounds
Village Brawl August 2, 2026 · players · rounds
Lone Star Open 2026 - Warhammer 40k Champs August 2, 2026 · players · rounds
Denver 40K Fight Club Aug Open ‘26 August 2, 2026 · players · rounds
Your Hobby Place Road to NOVA Hosted by Away Games August 2, 2026 · players · rounds
WAAAGH-nado!!! August 2, 2026 · players · rounds
II GT Santa Brigida - Kanarian Open August 2, 2026 · players · rounds
Dice & Bolter GT #1 August 2, 2026 · players · rounds
The Kent Major 2026 August 2, 2026 · players · rounds
Da Gathering GT August 2, 2026 · players · rounds
Saffron Slam XIV August 2, 2026 · players · rounds
WG AUGUST 2026 GT - Warhammer 40k Tournament 2,000 Points August 2, 2026 · players · rounds
KREFELD MAJOR 40k 2026 August 2, 2026 · players · rounds
Ringkriege 7 "Castle Clash" August 2, 2026 · players · rounds
Obsec presents WATC 2026 August 2, 2026 · players · rounds
The Salt City GT 40K Grand Tournament August 2, 2026 · players · rounds
Ragnarök GT 2026 - A Valkyrie Wargaming Event August 2, 2026 · players · rounds
Grand Tournoi 40K - Grand Clash Édition Équipe 2026 (5v5) August 2, 2026 · players · rounds
TACO DE ORO August 3, 2026 · players · rounds
Waterdeep GT 5ta Edición July 26, 2026 · players · rounds
BOISE CUP 40k 2026 July 26, 2026 · players · rounds
War in the Wastelands GT July 26, 2026 · players · rounds
The Wyldlands Burns GT - Summer 2026 July 26, 2026 · players · rounds
ForgeFire Open 2026 July 26, 2026 · players · rounds
Northern Maelstrom 2026 Warhammer 40,000 Grand Tournament July 26, 2026 · players · rounds
Fun-n-Games '26 Summer GT July 26, 2026 · players · rounds
Red Dragon Presents: Summer 5's (40k 5 Player Teams Event - July 25/26 2026) July 26, 2026 · players · rounds
Chimera Gaming Warhammer 40K Grand Tournament - July 2026 July 26, 2026 · players · rounds
Warzone Dragoon GT July 26, 2026 · players · rounds
BrewHammer GT 9 July 26, 2026 · players · rounds
Defiant To The Last II - Warhammer 40,000 Teams Event July 26, 2026 · players · rounds
Hobby Henchmen July GT July 26, 2026 · players · rounds
The 2026 Summer Swordwind GT July 26, 2026 · players · rounds
40k Brawl - July GT 2026 July 26, 2026 · players · rounds
Whitby 40K Summer GT July 26, 2026 · players · rounds
Protect ya Neck July 26, 2026 · players · rounds
Battle of the East July 26, 2026 · players · rounds
WH40k event - Boltgun Tactics GT July 2026, hosted by Battleground UK July 26, 2026 · players · rounds
Burn & Learn Vol.17 July 26, 2026 · players · rounds
Brighton 40k GT XVI July 26, 2026 · players · rounds
Rearguard Renegades Summer Open July '26 July 26, 2026 · players · rounds
Summer tournament July 26, 2026 · players · rounds
Summer clash 2026 July 26, 2026 · players · rounds
WH40k Ropecon GT 2026 July 26, 2026 · players · rounds
Winter Clash 2026 July 26, 2026 · players · rounds
La Senda del Iberian July 26, 2026 · players · rounds
Malaysia National Finals @ Xunobi Studio 2026 GW Golden Ticket Finals WH40k 2000pts July 26, 2026 · players · rounds
Gladiator Gaming Teams July July 26, 2026 · players · rounds
Tactical Chilli Championship 2026 July 26, 2026 · players · rounds
40k All Ireland Team Championship July 26, 2026 · players · rounds
FER GETÉ Summer Edition July 25, 2026 · players · rounds
Gaming Prince George Grand Tournament July 19, 2026 · players · rounds
Palm Springs Classic - 40k GT July 19, 2026 · players · rounds
Fleur-De-Lis GT July 19, 2026 · players · rounds
Fellowship Two-Day 2k July 19, 2026 · players · rounds
Hee Yaw 2026 July 19, 2026 · players · rounds
The O-Con-quest July 19, 2026 · players · rounds
TTG&G SUMMER GT July 19, 2026 · players · rounds
Battle at the Bridge 2026 Teams July 19, 2026 · players · rounds
Goonhammer 2026 Presented By Gaming Under the Ice July 19, 2026 · players · rounds
Historicon 40K Road to NOVA GT Hosted by Away Games July 19, 2026 · players · rounds
Taller del Gnomo GT July 19, 2026 · players · rounds
Waterloo Games 40K Road to NOVA GT Hosted by Away Games July 19, 2026 · players · rounds
The John's House Invitational 2 July 19, 2026 · players · rounds
Aetherforce Gaming Summer Siege Warhammer 40k GT July 19, 2026 · players · rounds
There's only war July 18, 2026 · players · rounds
Winchester 40K GT - July 2026 July 19, 2026 · players · rounds
Surrey Primarchs July GT July 19, 2026 · players · rounds
Waaagh! på gatan II July 19, 2026 · players · rounds
London Open Series - July July 19, 2026 · players · rounds
THE EDINBURGH 40K SUPER MAJOR July 19, 2026 · players · rounds
40K UKTC RTT GT - 2Day 5 Rounds - The Macharian Crusade July 19, 2026 · players · rounds
Willen Games Warhammer 40,000 11th Edition Grand Tournament July 19, 2026 · players · rounds
Bunker Warhammer Letnji Turnir 2026 July 19, 2026 · players · rounds
Athens Open-Summer Edition July 19, 2026 · players · rounds
Bordeaux OPEN July 19, 2026 · players · rounds
Málaga Open July 19, 2026 · players · rounds
Capital Clash - Da Revolushun! July 19, 2026 · players · rounds
SPEEDWAAAAAGH 2026: 3 man teams July 19, 2026 · players · rounds
MELTA Casino 2026 July 19, 2026 · players · rounds
Warhammer 40,000 Grand Tournament - Warhammer Open Tacoma July 19, 2026 · players · rounds
Northern Warlords Summer Teams 26 July 19, 2026 · players · rounds
Second City Games GT July 18th and 19th 2026 July 19, 2026 · players · rounds
Battle in the Stars 1 July 12, 2026 · players · rounds
Grom's Game Day July 12, 2026 · players · rounds
Throne of War GT 2026 July 13, 2026 · players · rounds
The Riverside Classic by Green Banner Event Co. July 12, 2026 · players · rounds
The Silver State Classic 2026 July 12, 2026 · players · rounds
Liga por un Golden Ticket en el Milenio 41 ZMG July 12, 2026 · players · rounds
First GT of 11th! July 12, 2026 · players · rounds
Dream Maker GT July 12, 2026 · players · rounds
Twin Dragons July GT! July 12, 2026 · players · rounds
Battlegrounds 5-Player Team Event Hosted by Away Games July 12, 2026 · players · rounds
WTWG Permian Basin GT July 12, 2026 · players · rounds
Tunaship Troopers: Planet M July 12, 2026 · players · rounds
Ironweld: Warhammer 40K Grand Tournament July 12, 2026 · players · rounds
2026 US Goonhammer Open 40k GT July 12, 2026 · players · rounds
BGE: The Dark Horseman 40k GT July 12, 2026 · players · rounds
La Classique d'été (40k) July 12, 2026 · players · rounds
North Staffs 40k: Team Standoff #9 July 12, 2026 · players · rounds
Bristol Crusaders: squad tactics July 12, 2026 · players · rounds
Vienna Summer Major WH40K 2026 July 12, 2026 · players · rounds
D6 Games- Chelmsford Chop GT July 12, 2026 · players · rounds
Midsummer O.P.A. 2026 WH40K GT July 12, 2026 · players · rounds
Vienna Summer Major WH 40K Singles July 12, 2026 · players · rounds
Luxembourg Open - Golden ticket event (11th ready) July 12, 2026 · players · rounds
Warmaster Bucharest 2026 July 12, 2026 · players · rounds
Shark Tank Winter 2026 July 12, 2026 · players · rounds
PATH TO GLORY - OPEN 2026 July 12, 2026 · players · rounds
Beach Clash Major 2026 July 12, 2026 · players · rounds
CARNAGE SEASON 4 - JULY 2026 TEAMS July 12, 2026 · players · rounds
11th is here August 23, 2026 · players · rounds
W4 - Western Wisconsin Wargaming Weekend July 12, 2026 · players · rounds
THE BIRMINGHAM 40K SUPER MAJOR July 5, 2026 · players · rounds
The North East Open 2026 July 5, 2026 · players · rounds
Leoben Summer Sprint 40K Singles 2026 - Alpine Cup July 5, 2026 · players · rounds
Gulf Tournament Circuit: Dubai July 5, 2026 · players · rounds
IV GT Tormenta de Hostias July 5, 2026 · players · rounds
SOLO KHAN 2026 Охота на Зотова July 5, 2026 · players · rounds
[9IQ] Checkmate GT @ AVCon July 5, 2026 · players · rounds
Geelong 40K Open 2026 July 5, 2026 · players · rounds
Summer Conflagration - 40K July 5, 2026 · players · rounds
Rally Point Open - Coshocton GT July 4, 2026 · players · rounds
Treasure Trove Games - Warhammer 40k Cherry City GT 2026 June 29, 2026 · players · rounds
The PNW Warlord's TACOMA OPEN PREP GT June 28, 2026 · players · rounds
11th Teams Tournament: June Trench Trial June 28, 2026 · players · rounds
Heroes Cup Teams - Warhammer 40K June 28, 2026 · players · rounds
Second City Games Anniversary GT June 2026 ( 11th ed) June 28, 2026 · players · rounds
Hellpit Grand Tournament 2026 June 28, 2026 · players · rounds
The Circuit Breaker - A 40k GT June 28, 2026 · players · rounds
EI Commencing Armageddon: 11th Ed Kickoff GT June 28, 2026 · players · rounds
Battle For The Capital GT 2026 June 28, 2026 · players · rounds
Indy Open GT 2026: 11th Ed 40k June 28, 2026 · players · rounds
Incursion Events 40K 5 Player Teams GT 27-28/06/2026 June 28, 2026 · players · rounds
WH40K SWC: Qualifier 4 - June June 28, 2026 · players · rounds
Copenhagen Chainsword GT III June 28, 2026 · players · rounds
Dawn of 11th: Vår has passed June 28, 2026 · players · rounds
New Dawn GT 2026 June 28, 2026 · players · rounds
Hour Zero 3: Dawn of Heroes June 28, 2026 · players · rounds
II Iberian Open La Rioja June 28, 2026 · players · rounds
Flamey's Cup 2026 June 28, 2026 · players · rounds
ATC 2026 8-Player Event June 28, 2026 · players · rounds
ATC 2026 5-Player Event June 28, 2026 · players · rounds
Skull Crusher 2026 June 26, 2026 · players · rounds
11th Ed event - SPEEDHAMMER!!! June 28, 2026 · players · rounds
Wyvern Wargaming - July League August 3, 2026 · players · rounds
MINI tournament Ranking on June 2026 June 28, 2026 · players · rounds
Warhammer club June 24, 2026 · players · rounds
Kippers' Melee 2026 - 40k June 21, 2026 · players · rounds
Major Warfare: Road to Nova June 21, 2026 · players · rounds
GDG Summer Ruin II Warhammer 40K GT (11th Edition) June 21, 2026 · players · rounds
Midland Melee 11th Launch Party June 21, 2026 · players · rounds
Thess Tabletop June 21, 2026 · players · rounds
Orbital Thunder: Rebellion on Gaia: IX - 5 Player 40k Teams Event June 21, 2026 · players · rounds
Summercon 40k Open 11th Gold Ticket June 21, 2026 · players · rounds

MATCHUP MATRIX FACTION-VS-FACTION WIN RATE · HEAT-STRIPED AGAINST ROW BASELINE · LOW-N CELLS (< 5 GAMES) MUTED

First-party BCP tournament data — 5+ round events, faction-anonymous. Cells show the row faction’s win rate vs the column faction.

	Adepta Sororitas	Adeptus Custodes	Adeptus Mechanicus	Aeldari	Astra Militarum	Black Templars	Blood Angels	Chaos Daemons	Chaos Knights	Chaos Space Marines	Dark Angels	Death Guard	Deathwatch	Drukhari	Emperor’s Children	Genestealer Cults	Grey Knights	Imperial Agents	Imperial Knights	Leagues of Votann	Necrons	Orks	Space Marines	Space Wolves	Thousand Sons	Tyranids	T’au Empire	World Eaters
Adepta Sororitas	5	54	44	40	59	50	48	36	68	47	37	50	33	56	46	37	52	2	48	33	47	29	35	47	28	51	37	48
Adeptus Custodes	39	83	49	56	56	58	58	52	58	44	44	52	53	43	45	49	45	100	57	61	49	47	45	50	41	50	47	42
Adeptus Mechanicus	48	44	10	48	59	60	52	23	40	48	50	44	88	46	45	41	42	4	46	62	41	42	36	38	40	51	33	63
Aeldari	60	37	44	17	66	52	33	44	52	41	33	41	83	26	42	41	47	40	50	43	34	39	42	41	30	40	39	50
Astra Militarum	34	37	29	32	29	32	46	43	42	37	49	39	55	34	41	31	43	3	34	37	27	27	42	44	33	36	40	37
Black Templars	44	39	40	43	61	8	50	45	47	38	29	42	50	56	42	64	44	40	34	44	40	33	38	43	38	48	40	50
Blood Angels	41	41	42	64	46	45	20	43	42	60	57	50	38	31	51	59	51	50	37	30	43	43	51	61	42	45	49	56
Chaos Daemons	57	43	74	46	53	50	52	45	59	51	44	63	62	65	46	46	60	3	60	55	46	38	43	56	38	57	54	55
Chaos Knights	32	33	45	36	50	47	58	31	18	45	22	44	46	52	27	27	33	4	33	31	45	34	45	11	35	45	37	43
Chaos Space Marines	48	51	50	57	61	53	31	45	55	54	39	54	42	48	41	55	51	4	46	36	49	46	46	47	43	42	34	45
Dark Angels	59	52	50	63	44	71	39	52	61	60	34	57	14	49	42	63	59	83	55	48	40	43	50	55	46	57	40	58
Death Guard	39	42	53	53	50	48	44	33	44	39	36	43	64	33	34	32	51	22	38	34	32	33	44	38	35	49	43	40
Deathwatch	67	40	13	17	36	33	63	38	54	53	86	36	1	45	44	2	90	1	64	54	73	33	61	46	64	57	38	38
Drukhari	39	48	54	56	52	44	67	23	41	48	45	53	55	15	54	37	54	1	50	44	42	43	54	43	20	32	51	53
Emperor’s Children	48	51	53	56	58	58	49	52	69	51	56	64	56	43	60	58	51	29	52	53	45	44	49	61	56	53	51	59
Genestealer Cults	63	46	59	55	62	27	41	50	67	42	30	57	2	60	27	6	42	1	49	44	33	39	39	60	49	34	47	54
Grey Knights	43	52	54	44	50	56	43	34	67	42	35	44	10	40	42	53	10	1	65	38	49	41	49	50	32	49	37	56
Imperial Agents	2	0	4	60	3	60	50	3	4	4	17	78	1	1	57	1	1		33	4	55	25	63	3	17	57	50	50
Imperial Knights	49	38	54	48	66	66	58	37	57	52	39	57	27	45	47	41	35	44	61	31	45	37	44	57	43	58	55	67
Leagues of Votann	57	38	28	45	58	44	63	39	59	52	48	56	38	46	43	48	53	4	64	30	48	45	50	54	41	50	51	62
Necrons	48	43	58	65	64	60	52	49	48	47	56	59	27	49	50	55	41	45	52	51	89	39	48	51	53	51	47	54
Orks	66	50	55	61	65	67	51	56	57	50	52	60	56	47	49	56	53	75	59	52	56	76	55	62	52	50	51	65
Space Marines	55	49	56	53	50	53	48	54	51	49	48	53	39	42	50	56	49	31	52	46	48	41	120	45	40	45	39	60
Space Wolves	53	44	62	55	51	57	32	44	86	47	43	62	54	50	37	40	50	3	41	36	48	32	55	18	52	40	45	57
Thousand Sons	70	52	48	63	60	46	54	61	63	54	51	61	36	67	40	49	62	67	53	53	43	44	53	43	35	50	52	67
Tyranids	42	45	42	51	60	48	49	38	48	54	38	48	29	58	42	59	40	43	36	45	43	45	50	57	42	72	49	41
T’au Empire	50	44	66	57	53	53	48	44	49	61	55	55	54	42	47	47	58	50	41	44	45	46	57	52	41	47	77	50
World Eaters	45	52	31	45	63	50	40	36	46	49	40	57	62	47	37	42	36	50	32	32	44	30	36	40	31	57	47	28

PER-EVENT AUDIT · 199 EVENTS

Hammer of Wrath GT August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
Rose City Rampage II August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
Spruce City Grand Tournament August 17, 2026 · players · rounds
Grillin' Dice GT 2026 August 17, 2026 · players · rounds
Sanctum's first Ironman Event! August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
Hole in the Wall GT August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
Onslaught x Layton GT August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
River City Rumble 40k August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
Free State Mid Summers GT August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
Warhammer 40k RocHard GT 2026 August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
NSO 2026 August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
21st Legion Wargaming Presents: Heart of War 2026 40K hosted by Away Games August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
TNT at Nashcon August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
Summer Slaughter: Warhammer 40K Grand Tournament August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
Summer of War GT August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
The Upkeep Games GT I 2026 August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
2 Day 2K Warhammer 40K Tournament August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
Loch 'n Load Teams Championship August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
EG Grand Slam 40k GT 2026 August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
South Yorkshire Teams 2026 August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
Grampian Gaming Guild August Teams GT August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
Oxford Onslaught Major 40k August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
Happy Birthday Mr. Iberian Goblin! August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
ELBCOAST CUP 24 August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
Torneo Tabletop Agosto August 15, 2026 · players · rounds
Warhammer 40,000 Grand Tournament - Warhammer Open Newport August 16, 2026 · players · rounds
WTC Warmaster GT 2026 August 12, 2026 · players · rounds
BLACKSTONE GT 2 August 10, 2026 · players · rounds
The Utah Cup 2026 - Warhammer 40K August 9, 2026 · players · rounds
RCM: Summer Skirmish 2026 August 9, 2026 · players · rounds
Keelhaul Gaming First Contact August 9, 2026 · players · rounds
Iowaaagh! Moose-tacular 2026 August 9, 2026 · players · rounds
Gem City GT 2026 August 9, 2026 · players · rounds
Geekfest - Summer Heat - Atlantic Team Championship August 9, 2026 · players · rounds
Cross-Swords War AT The Westward XI August 9, 2026 · players · rounds
Les DUCS d'été V11 August 9, 2026 · players · rounds
🔥Napalm Hobbies - 11th ED - SUMMER GT - 40K - ITC - ETC August 9, 2026 · players · rounds
The Summer I. T. T. - INTERNATIONAL TEAM TOURNAMENT - August August 9, 2026 · players · rounds
SAW MUST GO ON II – Murcia – Warhammer 40,000 Grand Tournament August 9, 2026 · players · rounds
Auspicious Northern Showdown August 9, 2026 · players · rounds
Tasmanian Teams Championship 2026 August 9, 2026 · players · rounds
The 2026 Gateway Open 40K Teams Tournament August 9, 2026 · players · rounds
OtherRealms Battle for Brew-mageddon August 3, 2026 · players · rounds
Modhammer August 2, 2026 · players · rounds
J-Town Throwdown August 2, 2026 · players · rounds
Village Brawl August 2, 2026 · players · rounds
Lone Star Open 2026 - Warhammer 40k Champs August 2, 2026 · players · rounds
Denver 40K Fight Club Aug Open ‘26 August 2, 2026 · players · rounds
Your Hobby Place Road to NOVA Hosted by Away Games August 2, 2026 · players · rounds
WAAAGH-nado!!! August 2, 2026 · players · rounds
II GT Santa Brigida - Kanarian Open August 2, 2026 · players · rounds
Dice & Bolter GT #1 August 2, 2026 · players · rounds
The Kent Major 2026 August 2, 2026 · players · rounds
Da Gathering GT August 2, 2026 · players · rounds
Saffron Slam XIV August 2, 2026 · players · rounds
WG AUGUST 2026 GT - Warhammer 40k Tournament 2,000 Points August 2, 2026 · players · rounds
KREFELD MAJOR 40k 2026 August 2, 2026 · players · rounds
Ringkriege 7 "Castle Clash" August 2, 2026 · players · rounds
Obsec presents WATC 2026 August 2, 2026 · players · rounds
The Salt City GT 40K Grand Tournament August 2, 2026 · players · rounds
Ragnarök GT 2026 - A Valkyrie Wargaming Event August 2, 2026 · players · rounds
Grand Tournoi 40K - Grand Clash Édition Équipe 2026 (5v5) August 2, 2026 · players · rounds
TACO DE ORO August 3, 2026 · players · rounds
Waterdeep GT 5ta Edición July 26, 2026 · players · rounds
BOISE CUP 40k 2026 July 26, 2026 · players · rounds
War in the Wastelands GT July 26, 2026 · players · rounds
The Wyldlands Burns GT - Summer 2026 July 26, 2026 · players · rounds
ForgeFire Open 2026 July 26, 2026 · players · rounds
Northern Maelstrom 2026 Warhammer 40,000 Grand Tournament July 26, 2026 · players · rounds
Fun-n-Games '26 Summer GT July 26, 2026 · players · rounds
Red Dragon Presents: Summer 5's (40k 5 Player Teams Event - July 25/26 2026) July 26, 2026 · players · rounds
Chimera Gaming Warhammer 40K Grand Tournament - July 2026 July 26, 2026 · players · rounds
Warzone Dragoon GT July 26, 2026 · players · rounds
BrewHammer GT 9 July 26, 2026 · players · rounds
Defiant To The Last II - Warhammer 40,000 Teams Event July 26, 2026 · players · rounds
Hobby Henchmen July GT July 26, 2026 · players · rounds
The 2026 Summer Swordwind GT July 26, 2026 · players · rounds
40k Brawl - July GT 2026 July 26, 2026 · players · rounds
Whitby 40K Summer GT July 26, 2026 · players · rounds
Protect ya Neck July 26, 2026 · players · rounds
Battle of the East July 26, 2026 · players · rounds
WH40k event - Boltgun Tactics GT July 2026, hosted by Battleground UK July 26, 2026 · players · rounds
Burn & Learn Vol.17 July 26, 2026 · players · rounds
Brighton 40k GT XVI July 26, 2026 · players · rounds
Rearguard Renegades Summer Open July '26 July 26, 2026 · players · rounds
Summer tournament July 26, 2026 · players · rounds
Summer clash 2026 July 26, 2026 · players · rounds
WH40k Ropecon GT 2026 July 26, 2026 · players · rounds
Winter Clash 2026 July 26, 2026 · players · rounds
La Senda del Iberian July 26, 2026 · players · rounds
Malaysia National Finals @ Xunobi Studio 2026 GW Golden Ticket Finals WH40k 2000pts July 26, 2026 · players · rounds
Gladiator Gaming Teams July July 26, 2026 · players · rounds
Tactical Chilli Championship 2026 July 26, 2026 · players · rounds
40k All Ireland Team Championship July 26, 2026 · players · rounds
FER GETÉ Summer Edition July 25, 2026 · players · rounds
Gaming Prince George Grand Tournament July 19, 2026 · players · rounds
Palm Springs Classic - 40k GT July 19, 2026 · players · rounds
Fleur-De-Lis GT July 19, 2026 · players · rounds
Fellowship Two-Day 2k July 19, 2026 · players · rounds
Hee Yaw 2026 July 19, 2026 · players · rounds
The O-Con-quest July 19, 2026 · players · rounds
TTG&G SUMMER GT July 19, 2026 · players · rounds
Battle at the Bridge 2026 Teams July 19, 2026 · players · rounds
Goonhammer 2026 Presented By Gaming Under the Ice July 19, 2026 · players · rounds
Historicon 40K Road to NOVA GT Hosted by Away Games July 19, 2026 · players · rounds
Taller del Gnomo GT July 19, 2026 · players · rounds
Waterloo Games 40K Road to NOVA GT Hosted by Away Games July 19, 2026 · players · rounds
The John's House Invitational 2 July 19, 2026 · players · rounds
Aetherforce Gaming Summer Siege Warhammer 40k GT July 19, 2026 · players · rounds
There's only war July 18, 2026 · players · rounds
Winchester 40K GT - July 2026 July 19, 2026 · players · rounds
Surrey Primarchs July GT July 19, 2026 · players · rounds
Waaagh! på gatan II July 19, 2026 · players · rounds
London Open Series - July July 19, 2026 · players · rounds
THE EDINBURGH 40K SUPER MAJOR July 19, 2026 · players · rounds
40K UKTC RTT GT - 2Day 5 Rounds - The Macharian Crusade July 19, 2026 · players · rounds
Willen Games Warhammer 40,000 11th Edition Grand Tournament July 19, 2026 · players · rounds
Bunker Warhammer Letnji Turnir 2026 July 19, 2026 · players · rounds
Athens Open-Summer Edition July 19, 2026 · players · rounds
Bordeaux OPEN July 19, 2026 · players · rounds
Málaga Open July 19, 2026 · players · rounds
Capital Clash - Da Revolushun! July 19, 2026 · players · rounds
SPEEDWAAAAAGH 2026: 3 man teams July 19, 2026 · players · rounds
MELTA Casino 2026 July 19, 2026 · players · rounds
Warhammer 40,000 Grand Tournament - Warhammer Open Tacoma July 19, 2026 · players · rounds
Northern Warlords Summer Teams 26 July 19, 2026 · players · rounds
Second City Games GT July 18th and 19th 2026 July 19, 2026 · players · rounds
Battle in the Stars 1 July 12, 2026 · players · rounds
Grom's Game Day July 12, 2026 · players · rounds
Throne of War GT 2026 July 13, 2026 · players · rounds
The Riverside Classic by Green Banner Event Co. July 12, 2026 · players · rounds
The Silver State Classic 2026 July 12, 2026 · players · rounds
Liga por un Golden Ticket en el Milenio 41 ZMG July 12, 2026 · players · rounds
First GT of 11th! July 12, 2026 · players · rounds
Dream Maker GT July 12, 2026 · players · rounds
Twin Dragons July GT! July 12, 2026 · players · rounds
Battlegrounds 5-Player Team Event Hosted by Away Games July 12, 2026 · players · rounds
WTWG Permian Basin GT July 12, 2026 · players · rounds
Tunaship Troopers: Planet M July 12, 2026 · players · rounds
Ironweld: Warhammer 40K Grand Tournament July 12, 2026 · players · rounds
2026 US Goonhammer Open 40k GT July 12, 2026 · players · rounds
BGE: The Dark Horseman 40k GT July 12, 2026 · players · rounds
La Classique d'été (40k) July 12, 2026 · players · rounds
North Staffs 40k: Team Standoff #9 July 12, 2026 · players · rounds
Bristol Crusaders: squad tactics July 12, 2026 · players · rounds
Vienna Summer Major WH40K 2026 July 12, 2026 · players · rounds
D6 Games- Chelmsford Chop GT July 12, 2026 · players · rounds
Midsummer O.P.A. 2026 WH40K GT July 12, 2026 · players · rounds
Vienna Summer Major WH 40K Singles July 12, 2026 · players · rounds
Luxembourg Open - Golden ticket event (11th ready) July 12, 2026 · players · rounds
Warmaster Bucharest 2026 July 12, 2026 · players · rounds
Shark Tank Winter 2026 July 12, 2026 · players · rounds
PATH TO GLORY - OPEN 2026 July 12, 2026 · players · rounds
Beach Clash Major 2026 July 12, 2026 · players · rounds
CARNAGE SEASON 4 - JULY 2026 TEAMS July 12, 2026 · players · rounds
11th is here August 23, 2026 · players · rounds
W4 - Western Wisconsin Wargaming Weekend July 12, 2026 · players · rounds
THE BIRMINGHAM 40K SUPER MAJOR July 5, 2026 · players · rounds
The North East Open 2026 July 5, 2026 · players · rounds
Leoben Summer Sprint 40K Singles 2026 - Alpine Cup July 5, 2026 · players · rounds
Gulf Tournament Circuit: Dubai July 5, 2026 · players · rounds
IV GT Tormenta de Hostias July 5, 2026 · players · rounds
SOLO KHAN 2026 Охота на Зотова July 5, 2026 · players · rounds
[9IQ] Checkmate GT @ AVCon July 5, 2026 · players · rounds
Geelong 40K Open 2026 July 5, 2026 · players · rounds
Summer Conflagration - 40K July 5, 2026 · players · rounds
Rally Point Open - Coshocton GT July 4, 2026 · players · rounds
Treasure Trove Games - Warhammer 40k Cherry City GT 2026 June 29, 2026 · players · rounds
The PNW Warlord's TACOMA OPEN PREP GT June 28, 2026 · players · rounds
11th Teams Tournament: June Trench Trial June 28, 2026 · players · rounds
Heroes Cup Teams - Warhammer 40K June 28, 2026 · players · rounds
Second City Games Anniversary GT June 2026 ( 11th ed) June 28, 2026 · players · rounds
Hellpit Grand Tournament 2026 June 28, 2026 · players · rounds
The Circuit Breaker - A 40k GT June 28, 2026 · players · rounds
EI Commencing Armageddon: 11th Ed Kickoff GT June 28, 2026 · players · rounds
Battle For The Capital GT 2026 June 28, 2026 · players · rounds
Indy Open GT 2026: 11th Ed 40k June 28, 2026 · players · rounds
Incursion Events 40K 5 Player Teams GT 27-28/06/2026 June 28, 2026 · players · rounds
WH40K SWC: Qualifier 4 - June June 28, 2026 · players · rounds
Copenhagen Chainsword GT III June 28, 2026 · players · rounds
Dawn of 11th: Vår has passed June 28, 2026 · players · rounds
New Dawn GT 2026 June 28, 2026 · players · rounds
Hour Zero 3: Dawn of Heroes June 28, 2026 · players · rounds
II Iberian Open La Rioja June 28, 2026 · players · rounds
Flamey's Cup 2026 June 28, 2026 · players · rounds
ATC 2026 8-Player Event June 28, 2026 · players · rounds
ATC 2026 5-Player Event June 28, 2026 · players · rounds
Skull Crusher 2026 June 26, 2026 · players · rounds
11th Ed event - SPEEDHAMMER!!! June 28, 2026 · players · rounds
Wyvern Wargaming - July League August 3, 2026 · players · rounds
MINI tournament Ranking on June 2026 June 28, 2026 · players · rounds
Warhammer club June 24, 2026 · players · rounds
Kippers' Melee 2026 - 40k June 21, 2026 · players · rounds
Major Warfare: Road to Nova June 21, 2026 · players · rounds
GDG Summer Ruin II Warhammer 40K GT (11th Edition) June 21, 2026 · players · rounds
Midland Melee 11th Launch Party June 21, 2026 · players · rounds
Thess Tabletop June 21, 2026 · players · rounds
Orbital Thunder: Rebellion on Gaia: IX - 5 Player 40k Teams Event June 21, 2026 · players · rounds
Summercon 40k Open 11th Gold Ticket June 21, 2026 · players · rounds

MARGIN PROFILE HOW DOMINANTLY EACH FACTION WINS AND LOSES · BLOWOUT & CLOSENESS RATES

FACTION	GAMES	AVG MARGIN (WIN)	AVG MARGIN (LOSS)	BLOWOUT %	CLOSENESS %
Adepta Sororitas	87	23.7	33.7	10.3%	19.5%
Adeptus Custodes	272	28.2	26.7	13.2%	28.7%
Adeptus Mechanicus	97	23.8	23.7	8.3%	21.7%
Aeldari	168	21.3	31.9	10.1%	31.6%
Astra Militarum	147	24.6	31.8	7.5%	21.8%
Black Templars	107	26.9	26.5	10.3%	29.9%
Blood Angels	135	27.3	28.2	11.9%	17.8%
Chaos Daemons	260	27.3	29.9	15%	26.5%
Chaos Knights	106	24.9	27	7.6%	28.3%
Chaos Space Marines	239	26.3	26.1	12.1%	29.3%
Dark Angels	284	29.2	27.5	15.9%	19%
Death Guard	257	22.6	25	6.6%	29.2%
Deathwatch	41	37.6	31.9	24.4%	14.6%
Drukhari	128	23.9	28	11.7%	25%
Emperor’s Children	255	27	27.9	12.9%	23.9%
Genestealer Cults	89	28.6	21.8	15.7%	28.1%
Grey Knights	131	23.8	29.4	9.9%	17.6%
Imperial Agents	15	15.1	39.6	6.7%	26.7%
Imperial Knights	199	32.3	30.8	16.6%	19.6%
Leagues of Votann	216	28.7	28.6	14.4%	19.4%
Necrons	318	29	25.6	16.4%	26.1%
Orks	314	33.2	23.7	18.2%	22.9%
Space Marines	366	25.1	26.4	12.3%	26%
Space Wolves	132	30.4	23.8	18.9%	24.2%
T’au Empire	280	26.7	29.2	12.5%	23.2%
Thousand Sons	151	26	24.9	10.6%	26.5%
Tyranids	284	24.3	26.7	10.6%	27.5%
World Eaters	160	30	29.9	15.6%	17.5%

REPRESENTATION POPULATION SHARE · TOP-CUT SHARE · OVERREP INDEX

FACTION	POP SHARE	TOP-CUT SHARE	OVERREP
Adepta Sororitas	1.66%	4.48%	2.7x
Adeptus Custodes	5.19%	4.48%	0.86x
Adeptus Mechanicus	1.85%	1.49%	0.81x
Aeldari	3.21%	2.99%	0.93x
Astra Militarum	2.81%	0%	—
Black Templars	2.04%	2.99%	1.46x
Blood Angels	2.58%	1.49%	0.58x
Chaos Daemons	4.96%	4.48%	0.9x
Chaos Knights	2.02%	1.49%	0.74x
Chaos Space Marines	4.56%	2.99%	0.65x
Dark Angels	5.42%	7.46%	1.38x
Death Guard	4.91%	0%	—
Deathwatch	0.78%	1.49%	1.91x
Drukhari	2.44%	5.97%	2.44x
Emperor’s Children	4.87%	2.99%	0.61x
Genestealer Cults	1.7%	2.99%	1.76x
Grey Knights	2.5%	4.48%	1.79x
Imperial Agents	0.29%	0%	—
Imperial Knights	3.8%	0%	—
Leagues of Votann	4.12%	1.49%	0.36x
Necrons	6.07%	5.97%	0.98x
Orks	5.99%	10.45%	1.74x
Space Marines	6.99%	4.48%	0.64x
Space Wolves	2.52%	1.49%	0.59x
T’au Empire	5.35%	10.45%	1.95x
Thousand Sons	2.88%	2.99%	1.04x
Tyranids	5.42%	4.48%	0.83x
World Eaters	3.05%	5.97%	1.95x

CONSISTENCY PROFILE CROSS-EVENT WR σ · VP SCORE σ · MIRROR-MATCH MARGIN

FACTION	EVENTS	CROSS-EVENT σ	VP SCORE σ	AVG MIRROR MARGIN	MIRROR N
Adepta Sororitas	14	0.22	32	—	1
Adeptus Custodes	18	0.156	32.5	±27.9 VP	7
Adeptus Mechanicus	14	0.192	29.9	—	1
Aeldari	21	0.234	26.6	±22.7 VP	3
Astra Militarum	20	0.258	27.7	±27.8 VP	5
Black Templars	16	0.189	24.9	—	0
Blood Angels	14	0.204	24.1	—	1
Chaos Daemons	20	0.171	29	±21.3 VP	7
Chaos Knights	15	0.17	33.5	—	1
Chaos Space Marines	23	0.186	29.6	±24.7 VP	7
Dark Angels	21	0.195	30.4	±25.1 VP	7
Death Guard	22	0.198	30.8	±19.6 VP	7
Deathwatch	6	0.196	22.1	—	0
Drukhari	16	0.231	34.7	—	1
Emperor’s Children	19	0.169	30.9	±13.4 VP	10
Genestealer Cults	16	0.221	28.9	—	0
Grey Knights	20	0.211	29.2	—	1
Imperial Agents	4	—	25.2	—	0
Imperial Knights	21	0.164	33.5	±18.3 VP	4
Leagues of Votann	19	0.144	30.1	±30 VP	3
Necrons	25	0.179	32	±24.8 VP	6
Orks	20	0.082	33	±22.4 VP	7
Space Marines	24	0.132	31.3	±25.2 VP	16
Space Wolves	16	0.228	26.8	—	1
T’au Empire	23	0.222	28.3	±32.2 VP	6
Thousand Sons	17	0.191	29.7	±33 VP	2
Tyranids	22	0.16	28.8	±23 VP	9
World Eaters	19	0.121	28.5	±31 VP	3

ROUND ATTRITION PER-ROUND WIN RATE BY FACTION · ROUND 1 IS MOSTLY RANDOM, FINAL ROUNDS REFLECT TOP-TABLE COMPETITION

FACTION	GAMES	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	Δ ROUND
Adepta Sororitas	87	80%	68.4%	68.8%	47.1%	57.1%	0%	—	—	—	-22.9 pp
Adeptus Custodes	272	52.3%	46.3%	63.6%	58.7%	39.1%	42.9%	28.6%	50%	100%	-9.4 pp
Adeptus Mechanicus	97	52.6%	44.4%	37.5%	16.7%	56.3%	50%	100%	100%	—	+3.6 pp
Aeldari	168	63.6%	40.5%	54.6%	46.7%	32%	0%	0%	100%	—	-31.6 pp
Astra Militarum	147	41.4%	35.3%	34.5%	30.4%	56%	100%	—	—	—	+14.6 pp
Black Templars	107	30%	47.4%	16.7%	47.6%	55.6%	25%	0%	100%	—	+25.6 pp
Blood Angels	135	44%	63%	50%	55.6%	60.9%	50%	—	—	—	+16.9 pp
Chaos Daemons	260	66.7%	55.1%	44.7%	53.9%	52.3%	30.8%	50%	0%	0%	-35.9 pp
Chaos Knights	106	47.4%	47.6%	27.3%	45%	47.1%	33.3%	—	—	—	-0.3 pp
Chaos Space Marines	239	44.7%	41.3%	57.5%	50%	51.3%	50%	0%	0%	—	+6.6 pp
Dark Angels	284	59.6%	43.1%	60%	53.2%	64%	38.5%	66.7%	22.2%	—	-21.1 pp
Death Guard	257	39.6%	44%	48.9%	41.3%	38.1%	40%	—	—	—	+0.4 pp
Deathwatch	41	33.3%	75%	62.5%	50%	37.5%	—	—	—	—	—
Drukhari	128	57.1%	41.7%	56.5%	55%	45.5%	40%	100%	50%	—	-11.7 pp
Emperor’s Children	255	51.2%	55.8%	51.1%	50%	58.5%	76.9%	66.7%	83.3%	—	+25.8 pp
Genestealer Cults	89	29.4%	75%	50%	42.9%	66.7%	50%	—	—	—	+37.3 pp
Grey Knights	131	31%	57.1%	47.8%	50%	72.7%	100%	0%	0%	—	+41.7 pp
Imperial Agents	15	50%	75%	50%	66.7%	33.3%	0%	—	—	—	—
Imperial Knights	199	42.1%	53.9%	58.8%	35.5%	21.1%	50%	100%	50%	—	-21 pp
Leagues of Votann	216	52.4%	57.5%	51.4%	60%	31.7%	85.7%	25%	0%	—	-20.7 pp
Necrons	318	57.9%	53.5%	39.7%	55.4%	62.7%	42.9%	50%	66.7%	—	+4.9 pp
Orks	314	50%	50.8%	39.6%	51%	56.1%	63.2%	25%	50%	—	+13.2 pp
Space Marines	366	45.6%	46.8%	49.3%	51.9%	62.5%	50%	71.4%	100%	—	+4.4 pp
Space Wolves	132	52.2%	57.7%	52%	56%	57.7%	66.7%	100%	100%	—	+5.5 pp
T’au Empire	280	52.6%	39.2%	54.9%	50%	54.2%	55.6%	100%	100%	—	+1.5 pp
Thousand Sons	151	46.2%	39.5%	58.3%	42.3%	48%	33.3%	0%	0%	—	+1.9 pp
Tyranids	284	46.3%	46.6%	47.4%	50%	44.4%	62.5%	—	—	—	-1.8 pp
World Eaters	160	66.7%	65.6%	53.1%	51.7%	33.3%	16.7%	—	—	—	-33.3 pp

MARGIN PROFILE HOW DOMINANTLY EACH FACTION WINS AND LOSES · BLOWOUT & CLOSENESS RATES

FACTION	GAMES	AVG MARGIN (WIN)	AVG MARGIN (LOSS)	BLOWOUT %	CLOSENESS %
Adepta Sororitas	1041	21.8	23.6	7.2%	33.5%
Adeptus Custodes	2668	24.9	23.4	11.3%	29.9%
Adeptus Mechanicus	1033	22	24.1	7.6%	30.1%
Aeldari	1345	20.5	23.3	6.1%	34.1%
Astra Militarum	1486	22.5	26.7	6.8%	30%
Black Templars	650	26.1	28.9	10.8%	28.2%
Blood Angels	1313	25.8	28.2	10.8%	24.9%
Chaos Daemons	1796	25.7	22.8	12.1%	29.5%
Chaos Knights	1104	23.5	24.2	7.6%	30.3%
Chaos Space Marines	2285	24.7	25.2	9.9%	27.8%
Dark Angels	1782	25.4	24.3	11.6%	28.2%
Death Guard	1793	21.6	23.7	7%	32.2%
Deathwatch	307	27.4	26.9	13%	26.1%
Drukhari	1226	19.4	23.3	6.8%	36%
Emperor’s Children	2189	26.6	25.9	12.7%	25.9%
Genestealer Cults	725	20.9	21.5	7.9%	35.9%
Grey Knights	1157	23.7	23.8	9%	32.8%
Imperial Agents	151	28.3	30	13.9%	21.2%
Imperial Knights	2200	28.6	27.2	13.9%	24%
Leagues of Votann	1713	23.8	24.6	10.2%	29.4%
Necrons	3045	22.8	23.5	9.7%	31.8%
Orks	2754	28.6	25.4	15.9%	26.1%
Space Marines	3330	24.3	26.2	10.4%	27.9%
Space Wolves	1151	25.8	26.1	11.5%	26.2%
T’au Empire	2805	23.4	25.2	9.8%	29.8%
Thousand Sons	1920	24.7	22.7	10.9%	28.7%
Tyranids	2731	24.3	22.6	10%	30.7%
World Eaters	1456	27.2	26.5	11.7%	25.4%

REPRESENTATION POPULATION SHARE · TOP-CUT SHARE · OVERREP INDEX

FACTION	POP SHARE	TOP-CUT SHARE	OVERREP
Adepta Sororitas	2.21%	1.61%	0.73x
Adeptus Custodes	5.66%	5.73%	1.01x
Adeptus Mechanicus	2.19%	2.29%	1.05x
Aeldari	2.85%	1.15%	0.4x
Astra Militarum	3.15%	1.15%	0.36x
Black Templars	1.38%	0.92%	0.67x
Blood Angels	2.78%	1.38%	0.49x
Chaos Daemons	3.81%	3.67%	0.96x
Chaos Knights	2.34%	1.61%	0.69x
Chaos Space Marines	4.85%	3.67%	0.76x
Dark Angels	3.78%	6.88%	1.82x
Death Guard	3.8%	0.69%	0.18x
Deathwatch	0.65%	1.15%	1.76x
Drukhari	2.6%	3.44%	1.32x
Emperor’s Children	4.64%	6.19%	1.33x
Genestealer Cults	1.54%	1.83%	1.19x
Grey Knights	2.45%	1.83%	0.75x
Imperial Agents	0.32%	0.23%	0.72x
Imperial Knights	4.67%	2.06%	0.44x
Leagues of Votann	3.63%	3.21%	0.88x
Necrons	6.46%	7.8%	1.21x
Orks	5.84%	12.39%	2.12x
Space Marines	7.06%	9.17%	1.3x
Space Wolves	2.44%	2.75%	1.13x
T’au Empire	5.95%	6.19%	1.04x
Thousand Sons	4.07%	5.73%	1.41x
Tyranids	5.79%	4.13%	0.71x
World Eaters	3.09%	1.15%	0.37x

CONSISTENCY PROFILE CROSS-EVENT WR σ · VP SCORE σ · MIRROR-MATCH MARGIN

FACTION	EVENTS	CROSS-EVENT σ	VP SCORE σ	AVG MIRROR MARGIN	MIRROR N
Adepta Sororitas	105	0.202	36.1	±39.4 VP	5
Adeptus Custodes	155	0.158	36.3	±21.6 VP	83
Adeptus Mechanicus	111	0.205	35.1	±21.8 VP	10
Aeldari	117	0.191	36.1	±14.3 VP	17
Astra Militarum	133	0.184	34.9	±19.1 VP	29
Black Templars	85	0.2	32.5	±27.3 VP	8
Blood Angels	121	0.199	34.3	±22.6 VP	20
Chaos Daemons	144	0.175	36	±19.2 VP	45
Chaos Knights	107	0.2	35.8	±16.8 VP	18
Chaos Space Marines	145	0.188	35.5	±24.8 VP	54
Dark Angels	134	0.202	34.9	±25.6 VP	34
Death Guard	137	0.197	35.6	±14.6 VP	43
Deathwatch	52	0.284	32.2	—	1
Drukhari	115	0.2	36.8	±19.3 VP	15
Emperor’s Children	145	0.176	35.8	±25 VP	60
Genestealer Cults	91	0.195	36.2	±31 VP	6
Grey Knights	125	0.201	35.7	±24 VP	10
Imperial Agents	29	0.275	34.4	—	0
Imperial Knights	146	0.141	36.1	±31.3 VP	61
Leagues of Votann	137	0.19	35.3	±20.9 VP	30
Necrons	170	0.142	36	±19.8 VP	89
Orks	155	0.152	36.5	±23.3 VP	76
Space Marines	172	0.173	34.1	±25.7 VP	120
Space Wolves	116	0.188	32.8	±17.6 VP	18
T’au Empire	157	0.191	35.9	±20.3 VP	77
Thousand Sons	138	0.176	36.9	±25.5 VP	35
Tyranids	160	0.163	35.3	±16.6 VP	72
World Eaters	129	0.163	34.6	±28.2 VP	28

ROUND ATTRITION PER-ROUND WIN RATE BY FACTION · ROUND 1 IS MOSTLY RANDOM, FINAL ROUNDS REFLECT TOP-TABLE COMPETITION

FACTION	GAMES	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	Δ ROUND
Adepta Sororitas	1041	47%	49.8%	48.7%	46.1%	45%	16.7%	63.6%	11.1%	—	+16.6 pp
Adeptus Custodes	2668	52.9%	50.8%	53.3%	53%	48.9%	53.9%	57.1%	52.4%	100%	-0.5 pp
Adeptus Mechanicus	1033	50%	43.6%	45.5%	44%	55.3%	40%	33.3%	30%	—	-20 pp
Aeldari	1345	49.2%	39.3%	43.6%	41%	44.6%	45.7%	46.2%	61.5%	—	+12.3 pp
Astra Militarum	1486	36.8%	43.1%	35.7%	37%	45.5%	51.9%	42.9%	28.6%	—	-8.2 pp
Black Templars	650	37.8%	50.9%	38.6%	50.4%	43.6%	50%	75%	40%	—	+2.2 pp
Blood Angels	1313	47.5%	52.4%	45.9%	53.2%	49.3%	39%	50%	36.4%	—	-11.2 pp
Chaos Daemons	1796	55.8%	53.4%	56.4%	50.6%	47.6%	49%	33.3%	36.4%	0%	-19.5 pp
Chaos Knights	1104	39.7%	40.4%	40.1%	46.6%	43.4%	42.9%	45.5%	45.5%	—	+5.8 pp
Chaos Space Marines	2285	44.9%	47.9%	50.8%	51.9%	48.2%	44.7%	32.1%	44%	—	-0.9 pp
Dark Angels	1782	55.8%	47.2%	56.9%	51.2%	53.4%	51.3%	53.1%	40.9%	—	-14.9 pp
Death Guard	1793	39.6%	43.2%	44.5%	42.6%	44.8%	38.6%	58.8%	57.1%	—	+17.5 pp
Deathwatch	307	50.9%	66.1%	52.8%	39.6%	45.8%	66.7%	33.3%	100%	—	+15.8 pp
Drukhari	1226	51.6%	48%	50.9%	47.6%	47.3%	56.7%	50%	12.5%	—	-1.6 pp
Emperor’s Children	2189	57.6%	54.9%	52.6%	52.4%	53.4%	53.1%	50%	79%	—	+21.4 pp
Genestealer Cults	725	46.7%	51.1%	49.6%	47.1%	49.2%	61.1%	20%	0%	—	+14.4 pp
Grey Knights	1157	45.4%	54.2%	43.5%	52.2%	45.1%	51.5%	30%	50%	—	-15.4 pp
Imperial Agents	151	30.8%	58.6%	50%	62.1%	35.7%	57.1%	100%	100%	—	+5 pp
Imperial Knights	2200	49.4%	48.2%	51.6%	48.3%	48.6%	55.9%	59.1%	45.5%	—	-3.9 pp
Leagues of Votann	1713	55.8%	47.9%	54.9%	51.2%	51.8%	51%	63.2%	57.1%	—	+1.3 pp
Necrons	3045	55.1%	54.3%	49.5%	52.4%	52%	48.8%	53.9%	68.2%	—	+13.1 pp
Orks	2754	57.7%	59.6%	54.2%	56.6%	60%	50%	51.4%	51.9%	—	-5.9 pp
Space Marines	3330	48.3%	49.1%	48.4%	53.7%	51.2%	55.8%	51.2%	58.3%	—	+10 pp
Space Wolves	1151	44.8%	48.3%	48.3%	48.6%	51.7%	57.9%	45.5%	44.4%	—	+0.6 pp
T’au Empire	2805	52.9%	50%	52.7%	51.2%	49.7%	50.6%	50%	90.5%	—	+37.6 pp
Thousand Sons	1920	58.3%	56.7%	55.8%	54.6%	54.4%	52%	42.9%	57.1%	—	-1.2 pp
Tyranids	2731	48%	47.7%	50.3%	46.8%	51%	53.9%	56.7%	50%	—	+2 pp
World Eaters	1456	44.2%	46.9%	45%	42.3%	46.8%	47.4%	64.3%	30.8%	—	-13.4 pp

MARGIN PROFILE HOW DOMINANTLY EACH FACTION WINS AND LOSES · BLOWOUT & CLOSENESS RATES

FACTION	GAMES	AVG MARGIN (WIN)	AVG MARGIN (LOSS)	BLOWOUT %	CLOSENESS %
Adepta Sororitas	1041	21.8	23.6	7.2%	33.5%
Adeptus Custodes	2668	24.9	23.4	11.3%	29.9%
Adeptus Mechanicus	1033	22	24.1	7.6%	30.1%
Aeldari	1345	20.5	23.3	6.1%	34.1%
Astra Militarum	1486	22.5	26.7	6.8%	30%
Black Templars	650	26.1	28.9	10.8%	28.2%
Blood Angels	1313	25.8	28.2	10.8%	24.9%
Chaos Daemons	1796	25.7	22.8	12.1%	29.5%
Chaos Knights	1104	23.5	24.2	7.6%	30.3%
Chaos Space Marines	2285	24.7	25.2	9.9%	27.8%
Dark Angels	1782	25.4	24.3	11.6%	28.2%
Death Guard	1793	21.6	23.7	7%	32.2%
Deathwatch	307	27.4	26.9	13%	26.1%
Drukhari	1226	19.4	23.3	6.8%	36%
Emperor’s Children	2189	26.6	25.9	12.7%	25.9%
Genestealer Cults	725	20.9	21.5	7.9%	35.9%
Grey Knights	1157	23.7	23.8	9%	32.8%
Imperial Agents	151	28.3	30	13.9%	21.2%
Imperial Knights	2200	28.6	27.2	13.9%	24%
Leagues of Votann	1713	23.8	24.6	10.2%	29.4%
Necrons	3045	22.8	23.5	9.7%	31.8%
Orks	2754	28.6	25.4	15.9%	26.1%
Space Marines	3330	24.3	26.2	10.4%	27.9%
Space Wolves	1151	25.8	26.1	11.5%	26.2%
T’au Empire	2805	23.4	25.2	9.8%	29.8%
Thousand Sons	1920	24.7	22.7	10.9%	28.7%
Tyranids	2731	24.3	22.6	10%	30.7%
World Eaters	1456	27.2	26.5	11.7%	25.4%

REPRESENTATION POPULATION SHARE · TOP-CUT SHARE · OVERREP INDEX

FACTION	POP SHARE	TOP-CUT SHARE	OVERREP
Adepta Sororitas	2.21%	1.61%	0.73x
Adeptus Custodes	5.66%	5.73%	1.01x
Adeptus Mechanicus	2.19%	2.29%	1.05x
Aeldari	2.85%	1.15%	0.4x
Astra Militarum	3.15%	1.15%	0.36x
Black Templars	1.38%	0.92%	0.67x
Blood Angels	2.78%	1.38%	0.49x
Chaos Daemons	3.81%	3.67%	0.96x
Chaos Knights	2.34%	1.61%	0.69x
Chaos Space Marines	4.85%	3.67%	0.76x
Dark Angels	3.78%	6.88%	1.82x
Death Guard	3.8%	0.69%	0.18x
Deathwatch	0.65%	1.15%	1.76x
Drukhari	2.6%	3.44%	1.32x
Emperor’s Children	4.64%	6.19%	1.33x
Genestealer Cults	1.54%	1.83%	1.19x
Grey Knights	2.45%	1.83%	0.75x
Imperial Agents	0.32%	0.23%	0.72x
Imperial Knights	4.67%	2.06%	0.44x
Leagues of Votann	3.63%	3.21%	0.88x
Necrons	6.46%	7.8%	1.21x
Orks	5.84%	12.39%	2.12x
Space Marines	7.06%	9.17%	1.3x
Space Wolves	2.44%	2.75%	1.13x
T’au Empire	5.95%	6.19%	1.04x
Thousand Sons	4.07%	5.73%	1.41x
Tyranids	5.79%	4.13%	0.71x
World Eaters	3.09%	1.15%	0.37x

CONSISTENCY PROFILE CROSS-EVENT WR σ · VP SCORE σ · MIRROR-MATCH MARGIN

FACTION	EVENTS	CROSS-EVENT σ	VP SCORE σ	AVG MIRROR MARGIN	MIRROR N
Adepta Sororitas	105	0.202	36.1	±39.4 VP	5
Adeptus Custodes	155	0.158	36.3	±21.6 VP	83
Adeptus Mechanicus	111	0.205	35.1	±21.8 VP	10
Aeldari	117	0.191	36.1	±14.3 VP	17
Astra Militarum	133	0.184	34.9	±19.1 VP	29
Black Templars	85	0.2	32.5	±27.3 VP	8
Blood Angels	121	0.199	34.3	±22.6 VP	20
Chaos Daemons	144	0.175	36	±19.2 VP	45
Chaos Knights	107	0.2	35.8	±16.8 VP	18
Chaos Space Marines	145	0.188	35.5	±24.8 VP	54
Dark Angels	134	0.202	34.9	±25.6 VP	34
Death Guard	137	0.197	35.6	±14.6 VP	43
Deathwatch	52	0.284	32.2	—	1
Drukhari	115	0.2	36.8	±19.3 VP	15
Emperor’s Children	145	0.176	35.8	±25 VP	60
Genestealer Cults	91	0.195	36.2	±31 VP	6
Grey Knights	125	0.201	35.7	±24 VP	10
Imperial Agents	29	0.275	34.4	—	0
Imperial Knights	146	0.141	36.1	±31.3 VP	61
Leagues of Votann	137	0.19	35.3	±20.9 VP	30
Necrons	170	0.142	36	±19.8 VP	89
Orks	155	0.152	36.5	±23.3 VP	76
Space Marines	172	0.173	34.1	±25.7 VP	120
Space Wolves	116	0.188	32.8	±17.6 VP	18
T’au Empire	157	0.191	35.9	±20.3 VP	77
Thousand Sons	138	0.176	36.9	±25.5 VP	35
Tyranids	160	0.163	35.3	±16.6 VP	72
World Eaters	129	0.163	34.6	±28.2 VP	28

ROUND ATTRITION PER-ROUND WIN RATE BY FACTION · ROUND 1 IS MOSTLY RANDOM, FINAL ROUNDS REFLECT TOP-TABLE COMPETITION

FACTION	GAMES	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	Δ ROUND
Adepta Sororitas	1041	47%	49.8%	48.7%	46.1%	45%	16.7%	63.6%	11.1%	—	+16.6 pp
Adeptus Custodes	2668	52.9%	50.8%	53.3%	53%	48.9%	53.9%	57.1%	52.4%	100%	-0.5 pp
Adeptus Mechanicus	1033	50%	43.6%	45.5%	44%	55.3%	40%	33.3%	30%	—	-20 pp
Aeldari	1345	49.2%	39.3%	43.6%	41%	44.6%	45.7%	46.2%	61.5%	—	+12.3 pp
Astra Militarum	1486	36.8%	43.1%	35.7%	37%	45.5%	51.9%	42.9%	28.6%	—	-8.2 pp
Black Templars	650	37.8%	50.9%	38.6%	50.4%	43.6%	50%	75%	40%	—	+2.2 pp
Blood Angels	1313	47.5%	52.4%	45.9%	53.2%	49.3%	39%	50%	36.4%	—	-11.2 pp
Chaos Daemons	1796	55.8%	53.4%	56.4%	50.6%	47.6%	49%	33.3%	36.4%	0%	-19.5 pp
Chaos Knights	1104	39.7%	40.4%	40.1%	46.6%	43.4%	42.9%	45.5%	45.5%	—	+5.8 pp
Chaos Space Marines	2285	44.9%	47.9%	50.8%	51.9%	48.2%	44.7%	32.1%	44%	—	-0.9 pp
Dark Angels	1782	55.8%	47.2%	56.9%	51.2%	53.4%	51.3%	53.1%	40.9%	—	-14.9 pp
Death Guard	1793	39.6%	43.2%	44.5%	42.6%	44.8%	38.6%	58.8%	57.1%	—	+17.5 pp
Deathwatch	307	50.9%	66.1%	52.8%	39.6%	45.8%	66.7%	33.3%	100%	—	+15.8 pp
Drukhari	1226	51.6%	48%	50.9%	47.6%	47.3%	56.7%	50%	12.5%	—	-1.6 pp
Emperor’s Children	2189	57.6%	54.9%	52.6%	52.4%	53.4%	53.1%	50%	79%	—	+21.4 pp
Genestealer Cults	725	46.7%	51.1%	49.6%	47.1%	49.2%	61.1%	20%	0%	—	+14.4 pp
Grey Knights	1157	45.4%	54.2%	43.5%	52.2%	45.1%	51.5%	30%	50%	—	-15.4 pp
Imperial Agents	151	30.8%	58.6%	50%	62.1%	35.7%	57.1%	100%	100%	—	+5 pp
Imperial Knights	2200	49.4%	48.2%	51.6%	48.3%	48.6%	55.9%	59.1%	45.5%	—	-3.9 pp
Leagues of Votann	1713	55.8%	47.9%	54.9%	51.2%	51.8%	51%	63.2%	57.1%	—	+1.3 pp
Necrons	3045	55.1%	54.3%	49.5%	52.4%	52%	48.8%	53.9%	68.2%	—	+13.1 pp
Orks	2754	57.7%	59.6%	54.2%	56.6%	60%	50%	51.4%	51.9%	—	-5.9 pp
Space Marines	3330	48.3%	49.1%	48.4%	53.7%	51.2%	55.8%	51.2%	58.3%	—	+10 pp
Space Wolves	1151	44.8%	48.3%	48.3%	48.6%	51.7%	57.9%	45.5%	44.4%	—	+0.6 pp
T’au Empire	2805	52.9%	50%	52.7%	51.2%	49.7%	50.6%	50%	90.5%	—	+37.6 pp
Thousand Sons	1920	58.3%	56.7%	55.8%	54.6%	54.4%	52%	42.9%	57.1%	—	-1.2 pp
Tyranids	2731	48%	47.7%	50.3%	46.8%	51%	53.9%	56.7%	50%	—	+2 pp
World Eaters	1456	44.2%	46.9%	45%	42.3%	46.8%	47.4%	64.3%	30.8%	—	-13.4 pp

PROTOCOL · INTERACTIVE TOOL

DISPOSITION EXPLORER

Pivot the faction → detachment → Force Disposition data four ways — which posture wins for a build, which builds win a posture, and the army-agnostic disposition×disposition and disposition-agnostic build×build matchups. Every view carries a plain-language verdict that is gated on the sample: a leader is named only when its 95% interval clears the rest, never by sorting and crowning.

Faction×detachment×disposition is roughly 1,300 cells; even a healthy season spreads only a few thousand games across them. This tool is built so the uncertainty is the most visible thing on screen — it refuses to declare findings the sample can’t support. On reading these limits, see What the Numbers Can Bear and Six Bins.

Lens

Format

Thin cells

Sort by

Win rates are the Archive’s own first-party measurement from the weekly tournament pull — not republished aggregator tables. Verdicts come from confidence-interval separation only; no p-values. The build×disposition data (the BUILD → DISP and DISP → BUILD lenses) begins with the first post-11th-edition pull on Friday 3 July 2026.

TWO-ELO RATING SYSTEM · PROVISIONAL

RAW Performance against other players, regardless of faction.

PERF-ADJ Net of the factions’ observed strength this season — the Performance composite.

Faction premium = adjusted − raw. Positive (adjusted above raw): the player is exceeding what their faction predicts — a skill signal. Negative: the faction is doing the lifting. This is the “is it the player or the army?” read.

BIGGEST SKILL PREMIUM

PERF-ADJ FURTHEST ABOVE RAW · THE GENUINE SKILL SIGNAL

BIGGEST FACTION LIFT

PERF-ADJ FURTHEST BELOW RAW · FACTION DOING THE LIFTING

TOP-50 LEADERBOARD · EDITION 11E

CLICK A RATING HEADER TO SORT · CLICK A NAME FOR ITS RATING NEIGHBORS · DEFAULT: RAW ↓

SEARCH ROSTER

#	PLAYER	RAW ↓	PERF-ADJ	P-PREMIUM	G	RECENT FACTIONS

FACTION PERFORMANCE

COVERAGE

MATCHUP MATRIX FACTION-VS-FACTION WIN RATE · HEAT-STRIPED AGAINST ROW BASELINE · LOW-N CELLS (< 5 GAMES) MUTED

MATCHUP MATRIX FACTION-VS-FACTION WIN RATE · HEAT-STRIPED AGAINST ROW BASELINE · LOW-N CELLS (< 5 GAMES) MUTED

MATCHUP MATRIX FACTION-VS-FACTION WIN RATE · HEAT-STRIPED AGAINST ROW BASELINE · LOW-N CELLS (< 5 GAMES) MUTED

MARGIN PROFILE HOW DOMINANTLY EACH FACTION WINS AND LOSES · BLOWOUT & CLOSENESS RATES

REPRESENTATION POPULATION SHARE · TOP-CUT SHARE · OVERREP INDEX

CONSISTENCY PROFILE CROSS-EVENT WR σ · VP SCORE σ · MIRROR-MATCH MARGIN

ROUND ATTRITION PER-ROUND WIN RATE BY FACTION · ROUND 1 IS MOSTLY RANDOM, FINAL ROUNDS REFLECT TOP-TABLE COMPETITION

MARGIN PROFILE HOW DOMINANTLY EACH FACTION WINS AND LOSES · BLOWOUT & CLOSENESS RATES

REPRESENTATION POPULATION SHARE · TOP-CUT SHARE · OVERREP INDEX

CONSISTENCY PROFILE CROSS-EVENT WR σ · VP SCORE σ · MIRROR-MATCH MARGIN

ROUND ATTRITION PER-ROUND WIN RATE BY FACTION · ROUND 1 IS MOSTLY RANDOM, FINAL ROUNDS REFLECT TOP-TABLE COMPETITION

MARGIN PROFILE HOW DOMINANTLY EACH FACTION WINS AND LOSES · BLOWOUT & CLOSENESS RATES

REPRESENTATION POPULATION SHARE · TOP-CUT SHARE · OVERREP INDEX

CONSISTENCY PROFILE CROSS-EVENT WR σ · VP SCORE σ · MIRROR-MATCH MARGIN

ROUND ATTRITION PER-ROUND WIN RATE BY FACTION · ROUND 1 IS MOSTLY RANDOM, FINAL ROUNDS REFLECT TOP-TABLE COMPETITION

DISPOSITION EXPLORER

BIGGEST SKILL PREMIUM

BIGGEST FACTION LIFT

TOP-50 LEADERBOARD · EDITION 11E

WEEKLY MOVERS · RAW RATING DELTA